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Thursday, January 12, 2017


AN ENTREATY TO
PRESIDENT OBAMA
                  
Dear President Obama,

You still have one week remaining in the office of the American Presidency during which you may yet set things right with Israel by initiating a single phone call to Israel's Prime Minister Netanyahu, stating to PM Netanyahu, that the White House shall forthrightly and publicly announce support for Israel, if Israel shall annex Judea-Samaria and grant a non-voting "Resident Alien" status to the Arabs of Judea-Samaria (the West Bank), accomplishing a One-State Solution, which would enable Israel to remain a democratic Jewish State without suffering the demographic hit to the democratic process that full citizenship for hundreds-of-thousands of alien Arabs would mean.

The White House shall recognize Jerusalem as the united and undivided capitol city of Israel (only of Israel, but, the US Embassy may remain in Tel Aviv); shall  support a program of relocation to existing Arab States (of such Palestinian Arabs as may be unwilling to reside in and respect the Jewish State of Israel); and shall support such necessary legal processes (e.g. deportation of terrorists, when and where necessary), as shall realize a peaceful State of Israel.

Secretary of State John Kerry's "Hail Mary Pass" to the Russians resulted in a successful chemical weapons deal with Assad of Syria; a President Barak Obama initiative to Israel could "Slam Dunk" a One-State Solution by following the simple formula stated above in this Entreaty.

Mr. President: shall you be the one to choose and underwrite  such an initiative, as would honor the entire world with a model and legacy of peace in Israel, that may be replicated throughout the Middle East and perhaps elsewhere, too, in this war-torn, war-weary world? 

A COMMENT TO JOHN KERRY REGARDING THE OBAMA ADMINISTRATION ISRAEL POLICY AND LEGACY

DESPITE the apparent reasonableness of the point of view expressed by SOS Kerry about American Policy regarding Israel, the fact is that he, Samantha Power, Ben Rhodes, and President Obama have either failed to understand the meaning of Israeli independence and Jewish Settlements in Judea-Samaria in the face of monolithic Arab terrorism, or, they have chosen to undermine the State of Israel. At best, the decision by the Obama Administration -- to abstain from the UNSC vote, thereby enabling passage at the UNSC of the anti-Israel Resolution regarding "settlements" -- is a warning shot to Israel, that Israel cannot rely on the USA as a protector.

SOS Kerry's apparent reasonableness or "plausibility" ought not be taken as expressions of fact nor of correct interpretations of fact; his words should be perceived as a tactic of rhetoric, used in a campaign of propaganda to undermine an opponent, and for the Obama Administration the "opponent" is Israel.

The saccharin sweetness of Obama, Kerry, et al, provides Israel no real calories, no nutrition. The Obama Administration even takes credit for the current American next-ten-year military support budget for Israel, credit taken that may best be understood intellectually as politically pragmatic avoidance of the embarrassment that would come to the Obama Administration, had it sought to veto budgetary legislation by Congress in support of Israel. One need only look at the very fresh and recent vote [in opposition to the UNSC anti-Israel Resolution] across Party lines in Congress to perceive the extremity of the Obama Administration's perspective regarding Israel.  As well, the Obama Administration trumpets it's alleged support of Israel in order to create an  appearance of fairness and even over-fairness of it's Administration's support for Israel. 

THE SHAMEFUL ABSTENTION of the Obama Administration with respect to the UNSC vote against Israel speaks volumes about the Obama Administration and will be the blackest mark on the historical record of the Obama Administration.

ISRAELI POLICY has for decades quite publicly made clear, that for every act of terror committed against Israel, the consequence will be expansion of Jewish life. There is a continual fiction, that there is an entity of People, who may be known as the "Palestinian People", who have a distinct right to a State (even though there has never been such a People nor such a State in history); this fiction seeks to separate out the "Palestinian People" and to compartmentalize this fictional entity from the existing 400-million population of Arab States surrounding Israel -- States which remain in an official state of war with Israel, States which still deny any peace with Israel since 1948, States which still do not recognize any existential right of the State of Israel. There may have been a moment in time, proximal to the cold peace made between Israel and both Egypt and Jordan subsequent to the 1973 Yom Kippur War, when a window of opportunity may have been imagined to exist for the "Palestinians" to agree to make peace with Israel and thus realize a "State of Palestine" on the "West Bank" (Judea-Samaria). This idea has proved to be a Western illusion, an illusion still maintained everywhere but in Israel, where the daily struggle for life and death does not allow for such an illusion.

IT IS LONG PAST DUE for the West to properly frame the Arab-Israeli Conflict as a conflict inclusive of the "Palestinians" (Palestinian Arabs). It is long past due for the West to properly understand the "Palestinians" -- in rhetoric and on the ground -- as the tip of the spear of Arab aggression against Jews and Israel, an aggression maintained for more than a hundred-years with one goal in mind: the annihilation of Israel.

AND A QUESTION MUST BE ASKED: Should Egypt be held accountable for it's authorship of the recent anti-Israel UNSC Resolution? Or, should the Obama Administration be held responsible for failing to veto that UNSC Resolution? On the face of it, all those States voting unanimously in favor of the anti-Israel UNSC Resolution should be held accountable; yet, in the world of realpolitik, every one of those nations -- including Egypt -- faces the extortion and terrorism of Jihadism on their own soil every day far in excess of anything the USA faces; so,it is not unreasonable to think that every one of those nations -- especially Egypt -- never in wildest dreams expected that the USA would fail to veto.

NOW, there is all kind of conspiracy theorizing going on about who may have orchestrated the UNSC vote. In fact IAN BREMMER suggested such a probability on the Charlie Rose Show only a month or two ago, when he said that the Obama Administration could vote against Israel in the UNSC (and, the abstention that actually occurred is tantamount to a vote against Israel). Sadly, Ian Bremmer was spot on.

YET, the fallout from the UNSC vote could conceivably have a positive effect, if other nations take their own rhetoric and public positions more gravely and more responsibly, such that they change the pattern of their behavior of relying on the USA to be the sole pillar of world security at the UNSC. 

ISRAEL may have no choice but to regard itself as being entirely on it's own. 

SOS Kerry did frame the question of Israel's future in terms of "democracy" (as the West understands democracy) versus some other form of non-democratic government; SOS Kerry takes it for granted that "democracy" means that a One-State Solution must needs grant equal citizenship to the "Palestinians" (this is the "demographic problem"). SOS Kerry does not acknowledge that there may be a Jewish Democratic State of Israel, which may create a Resident Alien, semi-autonomous, non-Israeli-Citizen status for the "Palestinians". This would be the most obvious democratic and peaceful path to a One-State Solution.

Tuesday, January 10, 2017

PRESIDENT-ELECT TRUMP... PLEASE, DO NOT MOVE THE AMERICAN EMBASSY FROM TEL-AVIV TO JERUSALEM.

If the USA moves it's Embassy from Tel-Aviv to Jerusalem, which would likely provoke attacks by Arab terrorists in Jerusalem upon the relocated American Embassy (such terror could include an Embassy takeover and occupation, such as occurred in Tehran by Muslim Shiite terrorists during the Carter Administration), then the USA would be obligated to respond directly in Israel on the ground in American self-defense due to Israeli security failure.  A move of the American Embassy to Jerusalem, and the likely consequence of terror waged on the US Embassy, is a cocktail that makes for an erruption of violence in Israel that Israel has not seen since the Yom Kippur War (and would likely be far worse, as the wars in Iraq, Syria, and throughout Arabia exemplify).

As much as I loathe the Obama decision to abstain from voting at the UNSC, thus allowing passage of the recent UNSC anti-Israel Resolution, I am far more concerned about the "unintended consequences" that may likely result due to an idealistic American Embassy relocation to Jerusalem.

I entreat President-Elect Trump to officially recognize, that Jerusalem is Israel's capitol city, that Jerusalem is a singular, united city, and that an undivided City of Jerusalem may only be capitol city to Israel and to no other nation or political entity.

And, I entreat President-Elect Trump that, when he is President,  he  should maintain the American Embassy in Tel-Aviv; he should not relocate the American Embassy to Jerusalem.

It has often been said that, "The road to hell is paved by good intentions."  President-Elect Trump! We should avoid that road to hell....!!!!  If even now as President-Elect you were to say and tweet that you have reconsidered the implications of Embassy relocation to Jerusalem and have decided against such a move, then you shall have offered a fig-leaf and an olive-branch, and you shall have removed an obvious provocation to violence.

Keep in mind that three Messianic Traditions meet in Israel -- Judaism, Christianity, and Islam.  Extremists of these three Traditions presume to know and speak for God and His Messiah, and are ready to bring about Armageddon in our time.  These extremists of the three great Western Traditions have given up on This World in favor of the Next World.  They would make a giant crater of the Holy Middle East and, then they would fight over ownership of that Holy Crater.

If it is Holy Craters that such extremists aspire to, then why not gather them together and send them on a one-way trip to the Moon?  Perhaps then the rest of us could live in peace!

BEST WISHES FOR A SUCCESSFUL PRESIDENCY.

****************

"CNN cited  unnamed Israeli officials as speculating that the move could be announced as early as May 24, on the Israeli holiday "Jerusalem Day" that marks the reunification of the capital in the 1967 Six Day War."

"“The president asked the American president-elect to not take this step [moving the embassy], as it will have destructive consequences on the peace process, the two state solution and the safety and security of the region,” official PA news site Wafa reported on Monday, paraphrasing Abbas’s letter. Wafa did not specify exactly when the letter was sent to Trump."


http://www.jpost.com/Israel-News/Politics-And-Diplomacy/Trump-to-move-ahead-with-Jerusalem-embassy-move-despite-opposition-478009

Friday, December 16, 2016

L'HAVDIL ....?....

IS IT WISE TO MOVE THE AMERICAN EMBASSY TO JERUSALEM ....?....

Announcement was made within the past twenty-four hours that President elect Donald Trump will appoint David M. Friedman to the post of Ambassador to Israel.  David M. Friedman is a strong advocate of the annexation of Judea-Samaria, Jerusalem as the capitol city of Israel and only of Israel, and of American Embassy relocation to Jerusalem.

This Blog strongly supports the first two of these goals.  Israel is long overdue to annex Judea-Samaria.  The World is long overdue to recognize Jerusalem as Israel's capitol city and solely as Israel's capitol city.  The one objection of this Blog is to the relocation of Embassies to Jerusalem.

The Jewish People are instructed to be in the world and yet to remain aloof from the world.  This is no small obligation before HaShem.  The secular, religious, and anti-religious elements of modern day Israel comprise today's State of Israel, which is a democracy and not a theocracy.  All of the citizens of Israel bring their present and historic memories to Israel and form the State in dynamic daily life in the context of a sea of Arab States, which still do not recognize Israel's existential right, (with the notable, yet changeable, exceptions of Jordan and Egypt).

Israel is an humble nation, despite the apparent historical chip on it's shoulder and despite it's cultural bluster, which is often mistaken by the world to be arrogance.  The world at large has great trouble accepting a psychologically independent and largely self-sufficient State of Israel.  Yet after thousands of years of exile, humiliation, abuse in ghettoes, Inquisition, and Shoah, Israel stands today as a State, recognized in 1949 by the UN.

In the world of politics and the deal making and power struggles associated with politics, one must always "hope for the best... expect the worst" (Mel Brooks, from "The Twelve Chairs").  One only need remember Israel's ceding of the entire Sinai Peninsula back to Egypt to recall the price of a "peace" deal.  The complete return of the Sinai to Egypt resulted in the assassination of Anwar Sadat and a cold peace with Egypt and later Jordan; ceding the Sinai set the precedent that the Arabs expect to have their cous-cous and eat it too, namely, that they may terrorize and seek to annihilate Israel at no ultimate cost to their territorial hegemony.

The past 60-years since the assassination of Sadat have seen the murderous bombings of the French and American Barracks in Lebanon, the Lebanese Civil War resulting in the assassinations of Bashir Gemayel and Rafik Hariri, Hezbollah domination of Lebanon, the Oslo Accords (may those Accords  turn over ad infinitum in their "grave"), the assassination of Yitzchak Rabin, several Intifadas, including the present Intifada and deliberate forest fires, several wars in Lebanon and Gaza, relentless missile attacks into southern Israel from Gaza, unending terrorist attacks from the geographies of Lebanon, Syria, Arab-occupied Judea-Samaria and Gaza, and then also the propaganda campaigns that have pitted the United Nations, the International Court of Justice, and much of world opinion against Israel, most recently in the form of the Boycott, Divestitures, and Sanctions movement.  One must not exclude as well the foolhardy unilateral Israeli "disengagement" from Gaza, which gave only one blessing -- the proof reductio ad absurdum that "disengagement" is an oxymoron with real world consequences, such as the destruction of homes and communities, the displacement of thousands, and the handing over of territorial hegemony to an enemy, whose only motivation is, was, and always will be the annihilation of Israel.

As the precedents for such an history was set by (1) the failure of Israel to annex Judea-Samaria in 1967 after the success of the Six-Day War, (2) the acceptance in principle of the idea of a Two-State Solution and the Oslo Accords, (3) the return in it's entirety of the Sinai to Egypt, (4) the "disengagement" from Gaza, (5) the freeing of thousands of terrorists from their Israeli prison cells, and (6) failure at the UN to prevent the propaganda of Arab Terrorists from becoming resolution after resolution against Israel; there is now hope (keeping in mind yet to expect the worst) that the tide is turning in Israel's favor and that some happy resolutions of the Arab Israeli Conflict exist now in the air, on the ground, and on "the table".

The consequences of the Iran-Nuclear Agreement are yet to be proven and are thus in the air.  On the ground American and international acceptance of Jerusalem as Israel's capitol city (and solely as Israel's capitol city) is long overdue and may now be on "the table".  Also on the ground, international recognition of the Israeli Golan and Sheva Farms, and Israeli annexation of Judea-Samaria also appear to be on "the table".  (Such recognitions and annexation is long overdue;  commensurately, there should be a paid opportunity for the voluntary relocation to Arab States of as many Arabs, presently residing within Israeli hegemony, who may not stomach the idea of life as a loyal Israeli, be their status as a Citizen or Refugee; as well, there should be an imposed relocation of Arabs terrorists to any nation that may accept them.  Those Arabs, who celebrate Al-Naqba, should have no place in the State of Israel.

The short-term symbolic impact of embassy relocation to Jerusalem appears to be supportive of Israel; but, one must remember, that even though there is no physical Bais HaMikdash on Earth today, there was an historical time, when the Babylonians invaded Jerusalem and destroyed Jerusalem and the Bais HaMikdash; at a later time in history, the Greeks, and then the Romans, occupied Jerusalem, the Royal Court, and the existing Bais HaMikdash, which the Romans ultimately destroyed.  As we ready ourselves to celebrate Channukah, let us remember, that even the short separation of distance between Tel Aviv and Yerushalayim is a separation that may best serve Israel and the World in their relationships over the long-run.  As one Rebbe has stated to this writer in times past with respect to involvement in the world and the in understanding of proper eruvim, "It is good to have an open mind, so long as one's brains do not fall out."  It is one thing, to pray for Mashiach in our time, may he not tarry, may he come speedily and in our time.  It is quite another to presume his arrival, which we will only know, when the Bais HaMikdash Shlosha descends MinHaShemayim in Yerushalayim.  In the meantime as Jews we had best remember that HaShem holds Har Sinai over our heads, that we should be Bitul before HaShem and before each other.

MEL BROOKS, "HOPE FOR THE BEST... EXPECT THE WORST."

Tuesday, October 25, 2016

VIEWPOINTS BY GARY KASPAROV AND STEPHEN COHEN REGARDING RUSSIAN-AMERICAN RELATIONS...

(Note: Please reference the conversation broadcast 10/24/2016 on the radio program OnPoint <https://disqus.com/home/discussion/wburfm/garry_kasparov_is_watching_russia_move_on_election_2016/#edit-2966574554>. Note also that this post regarding the Kasparov/Cohen conversation bookends nicely to the immediately preceding post "ROSH HASHANAH - YOM KIPPUR 5777".)

VIEWPOINTS BY GARY KASPAROV AND STEPHEN COHEN NEED NOT BE PERCEIVED TO BE  CONTRADICTORY; AND, THEIR COMBINED VIEWS MAY COMPLEMENT EACH OTHER AND ALLOW FOR A GREATER SENSE OF THE DEPTH OF THE REALITY.

Stress, be it personal stress or mass stress, may lead to xenophobia. Both Mr. Kasparov and Prof. Cohen have evidenced the existence of xenophobia in the context of the present issues under discussion, even though the word "xenophobia" was not itself under discussion.

Xenophobia may have both religious and political manifestations and consequences, especially when national, ethnic, racial, and economic factors are germane to stress and conflict. Such rampant xenophobia has obviously raised it's head above ground in Africa, the Middle East, and Central Asia. And, while the world has it's eye's "over there", it is also true that xenophobia has it's constituencies in the USA, Europe, and Russia.  The figureheads of these xenophobic constituencies are Putin, Trump, and (arguably) Clinton, and in Europe there are equivalent figureheads and equivalent constituencies.

There is no shortage of Superpower aggression, be it American, European, Russian, Chinese, and so on. Nor is there any shortage of aggression by proxy nations. So at issue, given the brinksmanship that may lead to war between the US and Russia, is whether or not these tensions may be released and relieved in ways that may trend to peace and not war. 

The oil and gas wars in the Ukraine and in the Middle East represent the flip side of the coin that is the religious-political-national-ethnic-racial stew of currency that has been cooked too long and is burnt to the point that the entire oven may catch fire. Can the stew be saved?

Who in his or her right mind would expect Russia to sacrifice it's vital strategic control of Crimea?  Is it too naive to suppose that Russia's xenophobia -- which is reflected by it's internal affairs and also by it's aggression in the Middle East, the Ukraine, and along the borders of the Baltic States -- may begin to ratchet down, if and only if the West comes to an agreement with Russia about the Ukraine?  

If  a glance at the map is at all suggestive, it is that the entire region of Baltic States, Belarus, and Ukraine (less Crimea) should be one larger political entity capable of common economy,  common defense, and common economic and political ties with Russia to the east and Europe to the west.  Only in this way may the constant game of the Cold War truly come to an end (reference the map below). Negotiating to bring the Cold War to it's final end may then coincide with bringing the Middle East War to an end. 

Assad may or may not remain in power; but, the geography over which any Syrian regime rules may necessarily shrink in order to accommodate the rightful needs of Assad's enemies. Still, the future may see four Middle East oil and natural gas pipeline routes capable of supplying Europe: (1) Iran --> Iraq --> Syria -- Europe (2) Iraq --> Turkey --> Europe (3) Iraq --> Syria --> Europe (4) Qatar --> Saudi Arabia --> Jordan -- > Syria --> Turkey --> Europe (reference the maps below). Syria is a pathway for three of these routes and a distribution center for two of those routes. Oil politics reflects the balance of power in the Middle East. Rational minds should perceive that multiple players and multiple routes would be a win-win all around. The sooner that hostilities  cease and peace is negotiated, then the sooner it will be that the devastated areas of the Middle East may be rebuilt, and that the majority of refugees may either return to their former homes or resettle to new homes.  

It is likely that in redrawing the map of the Middle East, Syria may shrink and much of eastern Syria may be absorbed by into Iraq and Iraq may become a Confederation comprised of an Arab-Sunni Province, a Kurdish Province, and a Shiite Province (success would be contingent upon a Western supported "Marshall Plan" modeled after the Marshall Plan that rebuilt Europe subsequently to WW2).

Failure to accomplish peace in the manner described above may prove both Gary Kasparov and Stephen Cohen to be equally correct beyond their worst nightmares.








Tuesday, October 11, 2016

ROSH HASHANNAH - YOM KIPPUR 5777

EREV YOM KIPPUR 5777 - KOL NIDRE

DEDICATED TO HASHEM, ISRAEL, BIBI NETANYAHU (MAY HE LIVE LONG), AND SHIMON PERES OF BLESSED MEMORY....

Pros and Cons of working with Russian and Turkey to Fight ISIS (a tentative viewpoint):

The one comment made during the second presidential debate that struck me as significant was the comment by Hillary Clinton, that she would establish "no-fly zones", but, would not send significant ground troops into Syria, and that she would supply weapons and trainers to the Kurds and Arab Sunni Rebels to fight ISIS. This is what we have been doing, and it appears that her intention as President would be to ramp up that particular strategy. So, what is the wisdom of such a ground game, pro and con? Firstly with respect to our NATO "ally" Turkey: supplying the Kurds with weapons and trainers has been done on a limited scale, owing to the Turkish antipathy to the Kurds, and we have relied on Kurdish courage, bravery, and skill; ramping up equipment and training for the Kurds may place us at odds with Turkey. Secondly, also with respect to Turkey, supplying Arab Sunni Rebels may be a double-edged sword, because some of these rebels are also at odds with Turkey. Thirdly, neither the Kurds nor the Arab Sunnis have much love for each other or for the Shia Iraqis, with whom for the moment there is a fragile unity against ISIS. Fourthly, as ISIS is also composed primarily of Arab Sunnis (Al-Quaeda + BATH Party = ISIS), Arab Sunni Rebels are a more natural ally to ISIS -- and so not only is there such a risk to us and to the Kurds and to the Shia, there is the obvious reason that -- according to Syria, Russia, and Iran -- no distinction is to be made between ISIS and Arab Sunni Rebels (be those rebels Al-Quaeda, Al-Nusra, or any other (Al-"). Fifthly, with respect to "no fly zones", one must ask, would these be negotiated and established via the UN or by the US and Russia in binary negotiations or by NATO in conjunction with Syria and Russia? The risk of air conflicts between NATO forces and both Russia and Syria is already too real. Sixthly, what is our intended end game of all of this Syria-Iraq-ISIS Conflict? There is no coherent end game, therefore there is no coherent strategy, IMHO. There is the appearance of an end game -- that Bashar Al-Asad must go, and that there must be an end to the slaughter of [mostly Sunni] innocents; yet, our intended "weekend" jaunt into Syria has devolved into five-years of conflict with no end in sight, several hundred thousand casualties, millions of refugees, and Asad still thriving in power. Both the humanitarian crisis, political crisis, and balance of power crisis remain to be resolved.

IMHO, it is both the BALANCE OF POWER CRISIS and the POLITICAL CRISIS that must be resolved in order that the HUMANITARIAN CRISIS be resolved.  As long as there is benefit to  various power players in the conflict to prevent cessation of the humanitarian crisis, then the humanitarian crisis will continue.  Thus far it is the Syria of Asad, Iran, Russia, and our "ally" Turkey, who have benefited from the humanitarian crisis by the strengthening of Asad's Syria, by the destabilization of Iraq, and by the destabilization of Europe.  There are those, who blame the post-Nine-Eleven War on Iraq as the primary cause of all this.  Respectfully, such destabilization was likely inevitable; it is stupid and foolish to get caught up in the divisiveness of the blame game, and wiser to look at the opportunities to make peace, and with whom.

Turkey and Saudi Arabia benefit by the existence of ISIS.  The expansion of Islamist Turkey and Islamist ISIS cannot be seen as independent of each other.  The deliberate refusal of Saudi Arabia to put troops on the ground against ISIS is a "tell" that any poker player should be able to see.  Whatever the convoluted pathways of money, power, and weapons may be in Islamic World, both Sunni and Shia, the humanitarian crisis there is a crisis in the balance of power of the Islamic World, though that crisis does certainly exist in context to the balance of power dissonances of the Great Powers (USA, Russia, China).

It must be pointed out that in Turkey the primarily Arab Sunni refugees owe their lives to Erdogan, who although being a hated Turk in Arab eyes, is also Sunni and is their benefactor.  We have seen Erdogan brutally consolidate his Islamist Regime in Turkey.  Turkish-Saudi cooperation is therefore likely; neither the Turks nor the Saudis are on the ground fighting ISIS, although the Turks give lip service to fighting ISIS directly, when the reality is that they fight the Kurds and they fight some of the Arab Sunni Rebels in an effort to get them to tow the line (IMHO).  IMHO we are seeing a regional shift in the balance of power that is being defined by an alliance of the Saudis and the Turks, which represents an alliance of these historical enemies based on Sunni Religion, technological modernization, economic advantage, geographic and military cooperation, and a future anticipating desalinization of water and stabilization of fossil fuel patterns even as alternative energies experience growth.

It is therefore incumbent upon the Great Powers to perceive these trends in order to negotiate a balance of power and political stability.  A pause in the humanitarian crisis becomes possible, as soon as the Great Powers and the Regional Powers get on the same page and define the balance of power and political stability of the region.  The Iran Nuclear Deal and the Syria Chemical Weapons Deal do create a positive wind towards doing so and against devolution into chemical and nuclear war in the imminent future, but, regional peace must be established, if such a present reality is to maintain into the long term future.

In order for this to happen Russia needs much more than a bone as well as a diminution of insult from the West.  The starting point has already included some meat in the form of the Syria Chemical Weapons Deal and the Iran Nuclear Deal.  It is time that an official split of the Ukraine be negotiated by the West with Russia.  The ethnic, religious, geographic, and strategic reasons for doing so should be quite clear (unless of course it is the intent of the West to utterly cut off Russia from the Middle East, Arabia, and South Central Asia).

What then should political resolution of Syria-Iraq-Kurdish regions look like?  Perhaps Joseph Biden had it right in suggesting that at root Iraq should be split into three largely independent geographies:  Kurdistan, Sunnistan, and Shiastan [Sunnistan and Shiastan are my own original terms for the Sunni and Shia geographies].  Such a regional set of compromises would mean that the Kurds would not get all that they want, otherwise there would be no chance of getting Turkey onboard; the Sunni may never see Baghdad again and may lose much of the existing oil infrastructure including beachfront property on the Persian Gulf; the Iraqi Shia would have Baghdad and the port areas and therefore would gain the commercial and political value of such hegemony, which would include the possibility of becoming a strong commercial brokerage center with respect to the other Persian Gulf States (e.g. Iran Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, etc.).  It may be that the key to peace would be that these three entities be confederated; and, though they may govern themselves largely independently, a central government would govern common interests and the power and benefits of that government would necessarily be evenly split three ways.  Implementation of such a reality would require either and American or a NATO presence analogous to the Marshall Plan.

It must be said as well that the entire Middle East Region including Saudi Arabia and Iran must cease bashing Israel and must engage in lasting peace with Israel.  The required elements are easy enough to understand and to implement: (1) All twenty Arab Nations still formally in a status  of war with Israel since 1948 must unconditionally terminate that status and must unconditionally normalize relations with Israel; (2) Terror organizations such as Hamas, Hezbollah, and Fatah must no longer be supported; (3) Egypt, which has already made peace with Israel, should be encouraged to sell at least ten-percent of the Sinai to Israel, so that once and for all the Arabs in and around Israel may understand that lands lost to them due to their own aggressions may not be taken for granted to be lands that would be returned to them; (4) Arab countries should accept settlement by Palestinian Arabs presently protected under Israeli hegemony, be those Palestinian Arabs "refugees" or Israeli citizens, given that approximately half of the Palestinian Arab population desires to be independent of Israel; (5) Judea-Samaria, the Golan, and the Sheva Farms geographies must be fully integrated into and accepted worldwide as belonging to the State of Israel; and (6) Jerusalem must be understood and accepted to be the undivided Capitol of the State of Israel.

It is not impossible to imagine a continuation of the Asad Regime, though it is difficult to imagine such a continuation, if Asad does not stand down his present strategy of laying waste to his very real enemies.  If Asad were to offer three fig leaves: (a) to abruptly cease his devastation of his enemies; (b) to secure his de facto constituency; and (c) to allow a well-supervised flow of humanitarian aid (supervised by the Russians, perhaps, to guarantee a flow of only food and medicine and not weapons); then, Asad may regain some moral high ground and put the onus on his enemies to do the same or face the World's retribution.












Tuesday, April 28, 2015

NEPAL EARTHQUAKE AND DRONE SHIPPING

PROOF OF CONCEPT OPPORTUNITY


Why is it that our military is so drone adept for surveillance and killing, yet, it is not (or at least appears not) capable for disaster deployment?

http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/nepal-earthquake-drones-used-by-canadian-relief-team-1.3051106

One hopes that such excellent and innovative corporate leaders, such as Jeff Bezos, who are already at work to innovate shipping via drone deployment, may at this very moment be on the telephone with SOD Ashton Carter and with CJCF Martin Dempsey, proposing to join "forces" beyond the odd camera drone in order to deliver actual relief throughout the earthquake region in Nepal, most especially beyond the city of Katmandu, where road access remains blocked.

One hopes as well that any such plan may incorporate the use of military and/or commercial cargo jets for airdrops of supplies to those in Nepal, who are suffering.  Presumably the capability already exists for the launch and recovery of drones from cargo planes.

There must already exist maps of Nepal according to which the locations and populations of need may already be inferred and thus airdrops may be planned and executed immediately. Better to airdrop now based on estimated need, than to wait and see, as people to die.

Is there any reason that the military cannot make use of paratroopers and parachute them into the more isolated earthquake areas of Nepal with tools including communications devices and medical equipment and supplies?

Tuesday, April 14, 2015

CONGRESSIONAL REVIEW OF THE IRAN NUCLEAR DEAL

PRESIDENT OBAMA COMPROMISES ON SENATE INITIATIVE

Is it just me?

Or, are there others, who like me do feel their stomachs fluttering and perhaps even quaking a bit, having heard simultaneous announcements that Russia and Iran have made an S-300 Missile System deal and that the White House has signed onto the Senate initiative regarding the Iran Nuclear Talks?  (It is a good thing that the Senate came together across Party Lines and that President Obama cooperated.)

"Serendipity doo-da... serendiptiy-ehhh.... I've got a feeling it's a wonderful day [in the Chinese sense of 'wonderful' -- analogous to the Chinese sense of 'interesting']...."  Come on... you know you want to sing that tune with me!

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/04/15/us/senators-reach-deal-on-iran-nuclear-talks.html?_r=0

WHEN IRANISH AND RUSSISH EYES ARE SMILING:

QUESTIONS REGARDING THE ANNOUNCED SALE OF THE S-300 RUSSIAN MISSILE SYSTEM TO IRAN...

1) Will the S-300 Missile System provide Iran with an effective "iron dome" of protection against an attack of it's nuclear facilities, military facilities, and government facilities?

2) Will deployment of the S-300 Missile System be observable to American and Israeli and Other human and technological Intelligence systems?

3) If the S-300 Missile System is observable to non-Iranian Intelligence, then may the existence of this System reveal high priority Iranian targets (especially nuclear infrastructure targets)?

4) Will there be enough scope to the Iranian S-300 deployment, such that Iran may move S-300 missiles, where they may "protect" neighborhoods of internal opposition to Iran's theocracy (which then America or Israel or Others might then mistakenly target and destroy, harming the Iranian internal opposition and aiding the Iranian theocracy)?

5) Will there be sufficient scope to the Iranian S-300 deployment plan, that Iran may move S-300 missiles, where they may "protect" dummy targets, deceiving America or Israel or Others into believing in false locations of presumed priority targets?

6) Is the timing and the announcement of this Russian-Iranian missile deal a "stick-it-to-ya" moment that Putin and Rouhani are celebrating at the expense of Obama? Or is Obama a less obvious party to this deal? 

7) Did Putin and Rouhani both just save 15% on their car insurance by switching to GEICO?

8) Are Putin and Rouhani arrogantly confident that neither Obama nor Netanyahu nor Another will order an attack against Iranian priority targets? Are Putin and Rouhani arrogantly attempting to provoke attack? Are Putin and Rouhani offering a gambit that only an arrogant or ill-advised fool would accept? Are Putin and Rouhani bluffing? Is Obama indeed the naked emperor, and the whole world laughing at him? Or is America the naked empire, and the entire world poised to flay the U.S.?

Iran and Hezbollah have been removed from the U.S. Annual Security Threat Assessment.  If you would like to read about this, please cut and paste the following link into your browser...

http://www.newsweek.com/iran-and-hezbollah-omitted-us-terror-threat-list-amid-nuclear-talks-314073.

Cuba is about to be removed from the list of state sponsors of terrorism, which gives rise to the question, "Is Obama about to make "good" on his promise to close down Guantanamo?" The logical next step for Obama may then be to completely abandon the American Naval Base at Guantanamo, even as Russia and China expand military and infrastructure activities in the Caribbean and in South America...

http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2015/apr/14/obama-remove-cuba-list-state-sponsors-terrorism.


If you would like to read an excellent article about the Russia-Iran missile deal announcement (including a great grinning photo of Rouhani and Putin) please cut and paste the following link into your browser...

http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/04/13/us-iran-nuclear-russia-idUSKBN0N40YX20150413.

If you would like to read an excellent and well-illustrated article about the S-300 Missile System, please cut and paste the following link into your browser...

http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-22652131.

Tuesday, March 24, 2015

ISRAELI PRIME MINISTER NETANYAHU WON HIS RE-ELECTION BEAUTIFULLY.

PM NETANYAHU STATED THE CASE FOR ISRAEL CLEARLY.

First, he made the case before the entire world that Israel's national security and national integrity are paramount.  He defined national security and national integrity in terms of present exterior and interior threats, e.g. Iran, ISIS, Hamas, Fatah, Hezbollah, etc.

Second, by declaring, "There will be no State of Palestine on my watch," he defined Israeli national security and national integrity as being (a) independent of the pressure of the worldwide lynch-mob mentality towards Israel and (b) independent of American political pressure from the Presidency, should that Presidency unwisely seek to impose it's own castration of Israel.

Third, he alerted Israel and the world to the fact of an active Fifth Column in Israel in which "left-wing Israeli's were transporting 'Arabs' to the polls in droves."  This allegedly racist comment has drawn much unjustifiable condemnation, even to the point of public apology!  Can you imagine!  Should a man, who saves his village by plugging his finger into the breach hole of a dam to prevent the dam from bursting, be made to apologize for doing so?  Such is the perversity of popular public opinion!

"EMPEROR" OBAMA SHOULD BE GRATEFUL TO ISRAELI P.M. NETANYAHU, MUCH AS THE LEGENDARY EMPEROR, WHO ONCE UPON A TIME, WAS ENLIGHTENED BY AN HONEST AND SOLITARY INDIVIDUAL -- EVEN A CHILD -- WHO EXCLAIMED, "THE EMPEROR IS NAKED!"

"EMPEROR" OBAMA AND HIS CADRE SHOULD UNDERSTAND THAT TIMES HAVE CHANGED SINCE THE DAYS OF GOLDA MEIR AND MOSHE DAYAN.

The idealism of Jewish and Arab secularists has given way to the pragmatism of the default reality, that Jews are Jews and Arabs are Arabs.  And the vast majority of Arabs are Muslim of one flavor or another.

The dominant Muslim flavor at present and throughout the history of Modern Israel is Jihadism of the Hamas and Hezbollah varieties.  The progenitors of these jihadist mentalities are Saudi Arabia (Sunni Jihadism) and Iran (Shia Jihadism).  Interlocuter between these two apparent competitors are the Bathists and the Muslim Brotherhood.  In Iraq the Bathists at this very moment are using social media to publicize and finger the names and faces of 100-American Servicemen, calling on Muslims around the world to kill these American Servicemen at will; this is chillingly reminiscent of the American deck of cards depicting the 52 "Most Wanted" Iraqui leaders (Saddam Hussein was the Ace of Spades) that Americans hunted down during the Second Iraq War.

We should all perceive by now that the effort to compartmentalize the Arab-Israel Conflict into a much smaller "Arab-Palestine" Conflict has failed and has caused great harm to Arabs and Jews, to Palestinians and Israelis, and to any rational idea of a State of Palestine.  And the so-called "demographic"problem of Israel is also falsely framed, as  not all Arabs are Muslim Jihadists;  but, among Israel's Arab citizenry, the majority may be Muslim Jihadists, perceived for what they are by their creation and celebration of "Al-Naqba" and their non-celebration of Israel Independence Day -- a day which gave them their Israeli citizenship.

In Judea-Samaria and in Gaza, the population majority are occupying Muslim Jihadists, who unambivalently wage a war of annihilation against Israel in proxy for larger Arabia.  It is worth noting that Gaza, which Israel "disengaged" itself from in 2005, has forced Israel to engage militarily time and time again.  Judea-Samaria under Israeli "occupation" has steadily experienced economic and social growth and diminished violence.  There can be no clearer "social science or political experiment"; nor can there be a clearer argument, that Judea-Samaria must remain under Israeli hegemony.

Given the Palestine reality; given that only Egypt and Jordan have made peace with Israel; and given that since 1948 at least twenty Arab nations maintain an official state of war with Israel; it should be clear that Israeli PM Netanyahu has done what must be done to maintain Israeli integrity.

There was no guarantee of electoral victory in Israel for PM Netanyahu.  PM Netanyahu is to be lauded for his exercise of the right to speak freely before the Congress of the USA.  Had PM Netanyahu not spoken truth to power in the timely way that he did speak (contemporary to the American nuclear negotiations with Iran), then PM Netanyahu might not have had the opportunity or prestige of office by which to address Congress, America, and thereby world at large.

If there was any doctrine of fairness in the world, then (a) the world would hold Arabia accountable for it's continued official state of war of annihilation against Israel, (2) the world would deny Arabia the right to vote or hold offices of power in the UN, UNGA, and UNSC, (3) the world would allow Israel to serve on the UNSC, (4) the world would support relocation of the jihadist populations of Judea-Samaria and Gaza into existing recognized Arab countries, where jihadists would genuinely be at home, (5) the world would hold Arabia accountable for the fomentation of terrorism against Israel by proxy in the disguises of "Palestinian Human Rights" or "Israeli Occupation", (6) and the world would encourage Egypt to give or sell Israel a significant portion of Sinai in exchange for world assistance in the development of Egypt's proposed new capitol city and the development of Egyptian fresh water projects.

This sixth idea must be framed and understood as an amelioration of the lopsided Israel-Egypt Peace Treaty of 1979, according to which Israel, having won the Sinai twice in defensive warfare, returned the entirety of Sinai to Egypt in exchange for peace.  While at the time such an agreement may or may not have been necessary to assure America's cold-war-era consolidation of Egypt into the American camp and away from the Russian camp, the local effect in the Middle East did set a terrible precedent: that Arab nations could wage terrorism and wars of annihilation against Israel and then be rewarded for their aggression against Israel at no consequence.  Why should lands won by Israel, either by legal purchase or by defensive war, be expected to be returned completely to Arabian nations in an atmosphere of worldwide support and ratification?

Is it any wonder, that today's UN is so lopsidedly anti-Israel, that Hamas and Fatah make it clear in their Charters, that all of Israel is defined as an illegal [against Muslim Law] "Occupation" of "Palestine", that the goal of their entities is to "liberate Palestine", and that none of their official maps depict the existence of the State of Israel?

Therefore, in our time today, an amelioration of the 1979 Israel-Egypt Peace Treaty must see to the material improvement of present day Egypt and to the return to Israel of at least a portion of the Sinai.

And for all of these reasons, we must ameliorate our chorus of songs to the Naked Emperor; we must cease to extol the fine thread of his non-existent Garment; we must arouse his conscience and his consciousness; and we must all insist, that the Emperor be fully, properly, and honestly clothed!

***************************************************

Thursday of this week is March 26, 2015 and marks the 36-year anniversary of the Israel-Egypt Peace Treaty.


Monday, March 2, 2015

A SPEECH FOR PM BENJAMIN NETANYAHU

RECOMMENDED TO BE MADE TO THE CONGRESS OF THE USA

In the year 1624 A.D. the legendary English poet John Donne authored a book entitled "Devotions Upon Emergent Occasions," and he writes in his most famous Meditation XVII,

"No man is an island entire of itself; every man
is a piece of the continent, a part of the main;
if a clod be washed away by the sea, Europe
is the less, as well as if a promontory were, as
well as any manner of thy friends or of thine
own were; any man's death diminishes me,
because I am involved in mankind. And therefore
never send to know for whom the bell tolls;
it tolls for thee."

(pause)

"It tolls for thee."

(pause again)

These words of John Donne (who in his youth fought alongside Sir Walter Raleigh and later became famous as a cleric and poet) ring as truly today as they did in his time and one may say they ring truly for all time.

There are Americans, who still regard the New World as an island of itself; and there are British, who still regard Britain as an island of itself; indeed, there are
Israelis, who regard Israel as an island of itself, albeit a social island surrounded by a sea of hostility.  The island nature is real enough.  And the potential threats islands may face are real enough.  The threats become greater, when they are ignored or explained away or not fully appreciated for the threats that they are.

So what is the threat today, and how may that threat be appreciated, that it may be faced with eyes wide open?  That threat is Iran, and while that threat is felt most acutely and immediately in Israel, it is a threat that is no less potent in it's import with respect to the larger Middle East, India, Europe, Britain, and America.

The militant nature of Iran is a matter of present historical record.  Ever since the regime of the Mullahs has ruled Iran, Iran has been the greatest single source of terrorism in the world.  And now Iran is on the verge of becoming a nuclear threat.  Nuclear power in and of itself is a powerful tool that may be used for good or evil.  How it is used depends on the hands that wield it.

The Iranian regime of the Mullahs has repeatedly stated as a matter of policy that it would wipe Israel from the face of the Earth, and this regime has already established a militant record for decades against Israel by manning, training, supporting, and supplying terrorist organizations such as Hezbollah and Hamas.

It was Hezbollah that bombed the Jewish Center in Buenos Aires in 1994, killing eighty-five persons and injuring hundreds; it was two Hezbollah suicide bombers, who attacked the American and French barracks in Beirut in 1983, killing the two-suicide bombers, killing six civilians, injuring seventy-five persons, and killing two-hundred-and-ninty-nine American and French soldiers.

Iran has labelled Israel "Little Satan."  Iran has labelled the USA "Big Satan."

One may infer that Iran regards Britain and Europe as the "Medium Satan".

This type of language, by which Iran describes you and I, is not the speech of diplomacy; rather, it is the speech of megalomania -- megalomania with the potential to hold nuclear power in it's hands.  In every manner of thought, speech, and action the Iranian regime of the Mullahs has already shown it's face and it's arms to the world.  If the world fails to stay the course of Iran's present regime, then the consequences become inevitable; and, those consequences are not beyond imagination; those consequences are: increase of Iranian totalitarianism, increase of Iranian born terrorism, and increase of nuclear proliferation.

Iran must be constrained militarily and financially, as it is already awash in black market money, despite existing sanctions.  This is why greater sanctions must be enacted and enforced against Iran.  And we must ask, whether or not ISIS or Al-Quaeda or Fatah are funded by Iran, just as Hamas is funded by Iran.

Much is made of the hatred between Sunni Muslims and Shia Muslims.  Perhaps too much is made of this rift.  The Mullahs perceive themselves to be an apocryphal regime, and former Iranian President Ahmadinijad regards himself as The Mahdi -- the Messiah of Islam destined to reconcile and reunite all Islam.

All of the fundamentalist Muslim regimes, be they Shia or Sunni, regard themselves as apocryphal.  And Pakistan, the one Muslim regime that is already a nuclear power, is only questionably stable and is riddled with Taliban.

The issue at hand is the timeliness of additional sanctions against Iran in appreciation of the reality of the Iranian threat.

So, I am here in Washington today to say one thing and one thing only:

(pause)

"... the bell tolls for thee."

















Monday, September 8, 2014

ARE PRESIDENT OBAMA AND HIS INTERNATIONAL ALLIES PROPERLY CONCERNED ABOUT THE PROLIFERATION OF WESTERN WEAPONRY AND TRAINING THROUGHOUT THE MUSLIM WORLD?

IF THE WEST IS WORKING WITH ALAWI SYRIA, SHIA IRAQ, AND SHIA IRAN ON THE ONE HAND AND WITH SUNNI TURKEY, SUNNI SAUDIA ARABIA, AND SUNNI EGYPT ON THE OTHER HAND; THEN IN IN BOTH CASES -- SHIA AND SUNNI -- THE WEST IS SPREADING WESTERN WEAPONRY AND TRAINING INTO THE TURKISH, ARAB, EGYPTIAN, AND PERSIAN WORLDS; AND THESE WEAPONS MAY COME BACK TO HAUNT US, AND TO ONE DEGREE OR ANOTHER, ALREADY HAVE DONE SO.

No doubt there are those, who will say, "It's all in the game... on the one hand, these nations we are working with are all our enemies; and on the other hand, they are all our clients... and if we don't do the providing, then the Russians and the Chinese will (which they will do anyway, so, it comes down to who gets how many pieces of the respective pies)."

With all that oil and all those weapons contracts at stake, is it any wonder, that so many civilians are being butchered by so many parties in so many distinct and creative ways?

There are those, whose perspective on the diverse world of Islam is, "Kill 'em all and let G-d sort it out... even better, let 'em kill each other."  Is this the democratic model we expect the non-democratic world to welcome with warm hearts and with open minds?

Sooner or later, one way or another, what goes around comes around; so, we of Western persuasion would be naive to think that ordinance stops "over there";   we had darn well better do our best to bring immediate threats to an end quickly and with minimal further harm to civilians; and we had darn well better do our best to give the world of Islam reason to sing our praises, beyond the obvious praises of respect for Western military capabilities, to the rebuilding of lives, polities, and economies, which have been ripped apart.

Monday, August 11, 2014

PRESIDENT OBAMA NEEDS TO SHOW STRENGTH AND NOT WEAKNESS.

In an interview with the New York Times’ Thomas L. Friedman, the president said that Netanyahu was “too strong” and Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas [Abu Mazen] was “too weak.”

According to Obama, in order for Netanyhau to come to the negotiating table and make concessions, the prime minister needs to feel more pressure from his cabinet and Israelis.

The president pointed to the fact that Netanyahu’s “poll numbers are a lot higher than mine,” which “were greatly boosted by the war in Gaza.”



WITH ALL DUE RESPECT TO PRESIDENT OBAMA, HE HAS IMPLIED AN HIGHLY CYNICAL VIEW, THAT NETANYAHU WENT INTO GAZA PURELY FOR POLITICAL REASONS OF POPULARITY.  THE EQUALLY IMPLIED INVERSE TO THAT VIEW IS THAT OBAMA WANTS US TO INFER THAT HE COULD EASILY BOOST HIS OWN RATINGS BY GOING TO WAR, EVEN WRONGLY SO... AS IF THERE WERE ANY EQUIVALENCE OF A THREAT SCALE THAT PARALLELS AMERICA'S EXISTENTIAL THREAT TO ISRAEL'S IMMEDIATE EXISTENTIAL THREAT.

PERHAPS THE REAL LESSON TO BE LEARNED FROM ISRAELI P.M. NETANYAHU IS THAT IN THE CONTEXTS OF SYRIA, IRAQ, IRAN PAKISTAN, AFGHANISTAN, AND OF OTHER JIHADIST HOT SPOTS, SUCH AS THOSE IN AFRICA, PRESIDENT OBAMA NEEDS TO SHOW STRENGTH AND NOT WEAKNESS... THIS BECAUSE OF THE NEED TO SHOW STRENGTH AND NOT FOR THE SAKE OF POLITICAL POPULARITY (WHICH IN THE U.S.A. IS AN OPEN QUESTION, AS THE NATION IS DIVIDED AMONG ITSELF AND IS GEOGRAPHICALLY DISTANT FROM EVEN IT'S REAL THREATS).

ISRAEL IS THE PROVERBIAL "CANARY IN THE COAL MINE" IN THE WORLD WAR AGAINST JIHADISM.  HAVE WE IN THE U.S.A. FORGOTTEN NINE-ELEVEN ALREADY?  WE ARE BUT A MONTH AWAY FROM THE "BAR MITZVAH" YEAR SINCE NINE-ELEVEN.  WE DARE NOT CHOOSE TO BE BLIND TO THE REAL THREAT OF I.S.I.S. (OR I.S.I.L.), AS I.S.I.S. BEHEADS SYRIA AND IRAQ, ENSLAVES THEIR WOMEN AND CHILDREN, AND CRUELLY (AND CRUDELY) CUTS OUT THE CLITORISES OF THEIR HUMILIATED, SUBJUGATED FEMALE CAPTIVES.

IF EVER WAS A TIME TO ENGAGE THE DRAFT, NOW IS THAT TIME.  AND IF THAT DRAFT INITIALLY SERVES PRIMARILY DOMESTIC PURPOSES, THEN THAT IN ITSELF WOULD YET BE A GOOD START.  WE FAIL TO BE BRAVE IN THIS RESPECT AT OUR OWN AMERICAN PERIL.

IT IS NOT A BRAVE CHOICE TO CONTINUE A POLICY OF WEAKNESS, NOR A BRAVE CHOICE FOR THIS NATION TO STUFF ITSELF SILLY ON MCNUGGETS, EVEN AS THE WORLD AT LARGE GOES TO PIECES.  NOR DARE WE FORGET THE PRESSING ISSUES OF THE UKRAINE, OF THE ASIAN SEAS, AND OF EVER MINDFUL TIBET.

PERHAPS IT IS A PRESIDENTIAL CALCULATION, THAT THE SHOCK OF I.S.I.S. MUST NEEDS BE THE CATALYST TO IGNITE IRAQ INTO THE TYPE OF UNITY IT MUST MANIFEST IN ORDER FOR GOOD TO COME TO IRAQ FOR THE LONG RUN.  PERHAPS SUCH A SUCCESS IN IRAQ MAY THEN SERVE VALUE AS MODEL FOR SYRIA AND FOR AFGHANISTAN.  IF THIS IS THE PRESIDENTIAL CALCULATION, THEN WE CAN ONLY PRAY THAT IT IS THE CORRECT CALCULATION AND THAT THE EFFECTS OF THAT CALCULATED POLICY WILL NOT BE FALL TERRIBLY SHORT OF GOAL.


Wednesday, August 6, 2014

HAMAS SHOULD BE CONDEMNED AS A GENOCIDAL ORGANIZATION.


HAMAS IS NOT MERELY A TERRORIST ORGANIZATION.

It is long overdue, that the world should condemn Hamas for what it is -- a genocidal organization. Hamas is not merely a terrorist organization. Hamas is a genocidal organization publicly devoted to the annihilation of Jews and Israel. Fundamental to the Hamas Charter, this genocidal motivation was reaffirmed by Khaled Meshaal within the past ten days on the Charlie Rose Show.

To call Hamas "militant" or "a resistance force" or even a "terrorist organization" gives a credibility to Hamas that pretends to a gray area --  even a negotiable area -- with respect to it's purpose. If a single Jew is murdered by Hamas, it is an act of genocide; to fail to call it "genocide" is a serious moral, ethical, and legal omission.  Relevant authorities and venues should be called upon to condemn and to prosecute Hamas for genocide.

The idea, that somehow recent events in Israel and Gaza represent a sporting engagement in which the capability of Israel to defend itself is regarded as being "disproportionately" superior to the capabilities of Hamas, belies the reality that, were the shoe on the other foot, Hamas would annihilate Israel altogether. The imperative of Israel is survival and self-defense; the imperative of Hamas is genocide. The only "disproportionality" that is relevant is Hamas's genocidal imperative towards Israel. 

Additionally, the world is long overdue to ask:

(1) Why is it, that twenty of twenty-two Arab States continue to maintain an official status of war with Israel subsequent to the 1948 Israeli War of Independence? (Surely the world sees through the red herring, that "Palestinian" statehood is a necessary precondition!)

(2) Who comprise the apparently inexhaustible supply of men disguised under those Hamas hoods?

(3) Is Gaza a training ground for the military and intelligence operations of the Arab and Persian worlds? 

(4) Is Hamas a means by which the entire Arab world and Iran as engage in the steady continuation of a state of war with Israel?

The world has been lulled into believing an illusion -- that if and only if Hamas is brought to heel, then the heretofore elusive Arab-Israel peace may finally be realized. The reality is that Hamas and Fatah and Hezbollah are just a few of the toes of the "Goliath" that Israel faces every day, until such time as a "David" arises in Israel to smite the "Goliath".

The way for Israel to face the "Goliath" is to first ask, that the world make use of the appropriate existing legal venues to charge Hamas with war crimes and with genocide.  Charges of war crimes and genocide should also be brought by the world against Fatah and Hezbollah and even more pressingly against ISIS and Al-Shabaab and Boko Haram.

If venues do not exist to try such non-State or would-be-State entities as these, then the world must create the venues (and the world should do so speedily, especially as regards the situations in Iraq, Syria, Somalia, and Nigeria). In this way the forces of genocide may be sorted out from the socially reasonable demographics in both the Arab world and in the larger Muslim world.  Failure to address such forces of genocide encourages, aids, and abets genocidal agendas.

Sunday, August 3, 2014

07 AV 5773: TISHA B'AV OCCURS IN TWO DAYS, COMPLETING MORE THAN SIX-YEARS SINCE I STARTED THIS BLOG. ISRAEL IS YET AGAIN NECESSARILY AT WAR AGAIN IN GAZA.



ORIGINAL DEDICATION OF THIS BLOG:  "The Three Weeks" commences today 17 Tammuz 5767.  May "The Three Weeks" be marked by the birth of Mashiach.  In the mundane sense of  "mashiach" this Blog is dedicated to peace in Israel and the World -- may peace begin this year -- may we see Peace and Rest in Sderot, and the safe return home of Gilad Shalit, Ehud Goldwasser, Eldad Regev, Guy Hever, Ron Arad, Yehuda Katz, Tzvi Feldman, and Zachary Baumel."

TODAY 07 AV 5773:  Miraculously, Gilad Shalit is safely home alive after his five-year captivity by Hamas (only HaShem knows, what may have befallen him during his captivity).  Ehud Goldwasser, Eldad Regev, Guy Hever, Ron Arad, Yehuda Katz, Tzvi Feldman, and Zachary Baumel are either missing or known to be dead.  As to the present conflict in Gaza, there is no peace in sight; at best there may be a ceasefire -- may there soon be a just ceasefire!

ARE THE HAMAS TUNNELS IN GAZA A TACTIC IN A LARGER STRATEGY OF TUNNELING WITHIN AND WITHOUT THE 'WEST BANK', THE LEBANON, THE GOLAN, AND WITHIN ISRAEL ITSELF? WHAT WOULD 'COLONEL HOGAN' AND HIS 'HEROES' HAVE TO SAY ABOUT THIS?


IS THE APPEARANCE OF RELATIVE QUIET ON ISRAEL'S NORTHERN FRONT, ON THE GOLAN, AND IN THE 'WEST BANK' MERELY A TACTIC IN THE LARGER WAR AGAINST ISRAEL BEING WAGED BY THE ARABS AND BY THE IRAN OF THE MULLAHS?

These are questions that Israel must ask and answer in a timely way, even as Israel necessarily roots out the missiles and the tunnels of Hamas in Gaza.

Israel is always on alert on all fronts -- most especially so, when engaged in war on any singular front.  Even so, at a cost to our attention on other fronts, the singular front at hand occupies our attention and our focus in a variety of ways: militarily, politically, socially, and in the media.

Would it be naive of Israel to accept the popular world view?  The popular world view is that: (a) the present status quo of Lebanon is a de facto peace with Israel since the 2006 Lebanon-Israeli War; (2) the present status quo of the 'West Bank' is a de facto peace with "Palestine" under the leadership of Abu Abbas; and (3) the present status quo of Gaza is one of inevitable stabilization, which is expected to ensue the present active conflict.

There is a legend that the Bar Kochba Revolt against the Romans was betrayed by a 'Jewish' insider, who revealed to the Romans a secret tunnel into Jerusalem.  This same betrayer is said to have assassinated Bar Kochba by tossing a poisonous snake upon him.  So, too, words may be poisonous; therefore, with no actionable knowledge and with a mindfulness of Yiryath Shemayim (Fear and Awe of Heaven), I write these words here now, barely two-days before Tisha B'Av, when we commemorate the ancient destruction of the Holy Temple in Jerusalem... for I have only time, a fallible memory, and obvious-headline media available in the USA from which windows of perspective I may perceive and write about events.

Tunneling in and out of cities is an ancient, legendary, long-standing tradition in the Middle East.  It should be no surprise that the Arabs are tunnel devotees.  In Gaza we have already seen that the more easily obvious tunnels have proven to be only one-level of a multi-level strategy of tunneling; these more obvious tunnels serve dual-use -- first as effective tunnels and then also as distractions away from deeper, more permanent tunnels; Israel has discovered these more permanent tunnels only by accident during this present military engagement.  Are there tunnels within and without the very real prisons in Israel, also waiting to be discovered?

Speaking of discoveries and legends... there is a legendary American television show called "Hogan's Heroes", which showed 168 episodes from 1965 to 1971.  "Hogan's Heroes" has a deserved infinite afterlife in re-runs. The setting of the show is a Nazi-run POW Camp imprisoning American soldiers.   Colonel Hogan and his Heroes, who are American Airmen, prove to be undercover Allied Operatives, who have been assigned by the Allies to be captured by the Nazis in order that they may use their POW Camp as a base of operations against the Nazis.  The key feature of "Hogan's Heroes" is their tunneling within and without the Camp.  Hogan and his Heroes never fail to make fools of such buffoons as Colonel Klink (the Camp Commander), Sergeant Schultz ("I know nothing, nothing...") and the entire Third Reich.

Israel is not Nazi Germany and the Arabs are not American POW's in a Nazi-run POW camp.  So, when the propaganda of Arab and pro-Arab incessantly pounds the ears of the world with the Big Lie that "Jews and Israelis are Nazis", it should be kept in mind that there may be an element of deliberate, sardonic humor in this propaganda, which Israel should not take lightly.  There is great danger in this definitional perversion of the meaning, origin, and identity of Nazis and of Nazism, and of the definitional equation of Jews and Israel with Nazis and Nazism.  As each generation of the Shoah (Holocaust) fades into history, the reality of the Nazis fades away, too; and with each airing of Hogan's Heroes (a wonderful situation comedy from which so much may be learned and from which oppressed peoples may take great humor and great courage) the less critical younger generations may get the mistaken notion that Hitler's Nazis were and are merely a fraternity of fools and buffoons, not to be taken seriously -- and hence, Jews and Israel are merely a fraternity of fools and buffoons, also not to be taken seriously.  Never mind, that Hamas, Hezbollah, and Fatah are all the real, true spawn of the Nazis, of those who joined with the Nazis, and of the philosophies of Nazism and Jihadism!

Simultaneously, the media is being used to label Israel as the devil infant of the USA.  How ironic is that!  And what pernicious tactic is that, too, for if or when that tactic is successful, it will be be successful, when America gets clay feet and chooses to attempt to free itself from the label "Great Satan" by betraying Israel.

The USA, which bailed out Europe, Britain, and much of the world from the impositions of evil by the Axis Powers, is now regarded by much of the world to be a Nazi nation itself -- this, even as Europe, which fell on it's back and on it's stomach before the Nazis, now morphs into Eurabia!  Mockery of Israel and of the USA, which has achieved unprecedented levels since WW2, must not be tolerated.  So, too, the deleterious forces within both America and Israel must not be tolerated, as their criminal and fifth-column realization would undermine the spiritual, material, and democratic best qualities of American and Israeli society.

The world view is that a "Two-State Solution" is but three-steps of a waltz-away from becoming reality; that as soon as Gaza is brought to heel, a "State of Palestine" under Abu Abbas may be realized... contingent upon requirements that Israel must accept 1967 borders, that Israel must accept treaty demands requiring Israel to step back from it's security imperatives in the Jordan Valley, that Israel must allow Gaza to completely open wide it's air, land, and sea access; and Israel must accept the division of Jerusalem in order that a "Capital of Palestine" may be established there.

Having focused the eyes of the world on the 'plight' of the 'Palestinians' and on the artificial fabrication of a separation of the 'Palestinian Issue' from that of the larger Arab-Israel Conflict, an illusion has been created, that the 'Palestinians' live in subjugated status by Israel, that 'Palestine' is a prison camp maintained by Israel with support of the USA, that a great 'injustice' has been 'perpetrated' upon the 'People of Palestine' by Israel and by the USA, and that this great 'injustice' must be 'righted'.

The eyes of the world have been diverted from the fact of sustained war against Israel by all of Arabia, the overt symbol of which is the very real and official status of war maintained against Israel since 1948 by twenty of twenty-two Arab nations.  The only two States at 'peace' with Israel are Egypt and Jordan; these two States are well paid for this 'peace' by the USA; and this 'peace' has required Israel to surrender Sinai and the Lebanon and much of Golan for the privilege.  Israel is being set up by the world for total containment at best and for total destruction at worst.

The present apparent unity of the Arab world against Hamas must be taken with a grain of salt.  The appearance of imminent 'peace' and the negotiations towards 'peace' must be regarded as the carrot leading the donkey; and, don't forget that there is always a stick whacking the donkey's tuchus (buttox), when the donkey eases off or grows tired of straining for the carrot.  It is said that Mashiach will enter Jerusalem riding on a donkey; it is a matter of life and death, that Israel not be the donkey.

The impunity in Gaza must needs be totally crushed -- the tunnels, the weapons and the missile resources, if not Hamas altogether.  But, that is not enough!

The plausible should be investigated!  It should be assumed as a matter of logic that activity including tunneling, hiding of missiles, and hiding of weapons is secretly, quietly, and discreetly taking place in the 'West Bank', in the Golan, in the Lebanon, in the prison camps, in the mosques, and in Jerusalem itself including Al-Quds.  The present and immediate threat from Gaza must not be regarded as the end game, lest Israel leave itself wide open from within and from without on all fronts.  It just wouldn't be good Shesh-Besh (backgammon), for the Arabs to leave the game at Gaza....

Monday, July 21, 2014

THERE ARE FOUR PRESENT QUESTIONS THAT MUST BE RAISED WITH RESPECT TO MEDIA COVERAGE OF ISRAEL, HAMAS, AND GAZA --


ESPECIALLY AS BOTH HAMAS AND FATAH ARE IGNORING NO OPPORTUNITY TO CRY THAT ISRAEL IS "MASSACRING" GAZA AND THAT ISRAEL IS PERPETRATING A "CRIME AGAINST HUMANITY": 

 (1) Is anyone asking, "What percentage of the death toll of Gazans is caused directly or indirectly by Hamas enforcement (including acts of murder) to maintain a civilian population (a) as cover for their ordinance and (b) as inevitable sympathetic martyrs? 

(2) Is anyone asking, "What percentage of the Gaza population remains there voluntarily, because they support Hamas (and who therefore are actually combatants), even though they may appear to be non-combatants?" 

(3) Is anyone asking, "Why is it, that Hamas has not established a population relocation program in order to evacuate non-combatants from the combat zone?" 

(4) Is Israel asking, "Why is it, that all of a sudden the Israeli Military is being spoken of in the media (at least in the BBC and in NPR) as a "conscript" military?"

Monday, November 11, 2013

ARE THE SAUDIS, IRANIANS, AND PAKISTANIS PLAYING US?


Consider the following speculative idea:  Iran and Saudia Arabia are central to the Muslim World, and Muslim messianic faith tells of the coming of the "Mahdi", who will unite Sunni Islam and Shia Islam, establishing a united Islam dominant in the world.

We hear talk of a common front by Israel and Saudia Arabia against what may be imminent Iranian nuclear power; and we hear that Pakistan may be readying to ship nuclear bombs to Saudia Arabia, ostensibly to defend against Iran.

Yet do we not also hear of the imminent completion of an oil pipeline connecting Iran to Pakistan?

Pakistan lies adjacent to Iran, sharing a common border with Iran; and, the significant beachfront geographies of Pakistan, Iran, and Saudia Arabia make for easy mercantile intercourse between them.

Though Pakistan is Sunni -- as is Saudia Arabia from whence Islam first emerged -- what is there to prevent Pakistan from using the oil pipeline into Iran as a conduit for nuclear fuel or nuclear weapons?

Even as the West supports wars that pit Sunni against Shia, do we not also see growing Islamic unity against the West?

While our eyes are on the centrifuge capabilities and the hard water facilities of Iran -- truly these are real threats in and of themselves -- just next door to Iran lies Pakistan, nuclear capable and possibly just the completion of an oil deal away from sharing that nuclear capability with Iran.  Time Iran may seek to "purchase" from the West via negotiation, allowing nuclear inspections in exchange for an easing of economic sanctions, may also buy time for oil pipeline completion of the into Pakistan.  We risk complacency with respect to the visible Iranian threat, apparently blind to a plausible unknown-unknown nuclear threat in the form of Iran-Pakistan.

The bloody Syrian situation (and the simultaneous Iraqi situation) lies to the west of Iran; the bloody Pakistani and Afghani situations lie to the east of Iran.  Iran itself is relatively quiet, though we may delude ourselves into believing that the Iran of the Mullahs is on the brink of profound civil unrest.  Meanwhile, the clock ticks down on American and Allied presence in both Afghanistan and Pakistan.  (It is worth noting that both Pakistan and Afghanistan share borders with Chinese occupied Tibet to the northeast and with Iran to their west).  So, the way to pressure the Iranian Mullah hegemony may first require that both Syria/Iraq and Pakistan/Afghanistan be squared away; and, the way to pressure Pakistan and Afghanistan may require continued sanctions against Iran and interruption of the Iran-Pakistan oil pipeline.

Continuous and extended Western involvement and re-involvement (such as in Iran, Iraq, Syria, Pakistan, and Afghanistan) may be the hard but necessary road to successful containment of Islamic nuclear power.  Neither can we ignore Turkey and Egypt at this time.  But, the question raised herein goes to whether or not there is a subterranean alliance between Iran and Pakistan that may have nuclear consequences.

Wednesday, August 14, 2013

What? A new label? How about... "Made In The Historical Homeland Of Israel"!

LONG MAY THE VINEYARDS, WINES, AND ALL PRODUCE AND PRODUCT OF "THE HISTORICAL HOMELAND OF ISRAEL" FLOURISH....

Currently, produce and manufacture of Israel, including that of the disputed territories, is labeled, "Made In Israel".  Would it make a difference, if all the produce and manufacture of Israel, including that of the disputed territories, were labeled "Made In The Historical Homeland Of Israel?"  Would such a slight labeling transformation (not exactly according to the specifications of the EU) have a transformative effect, positively expressing a rightful Israeli point of view against the evil eye of  Europe, which relentlessly and profoundly insults,  pressures, and aggravates Israel?  The EU presently insists that Israel distinctly relabel those products and produce, such as are produce and products coming from "Occupied Palestinian Territory".  According to the EU this requirement is consistent with and necessary according to "International Law".

Israel did not participate in, does not accept the jurisdiction of, nor accede to the anti-Israel 2004 ICJ Decision against the Israel Security Fence.  This current EU requirement may provide an opportunity for Israel to challenge both the new EU requirement and the 2004 ICJ Decision.  Neither the UNGA nor the ICJ may definitively nor unilaterally establish Israeli borders (there has been no final resolution of the Arab-Israel Conflict nor of the matter of the disputed territories).  Yet, alteration of the label is an intriguing idea....

Whether produced or manufactured in Judea-Samaria, or in the Golan, or along the Mediterranean, or in the Negev, "Made In The Historical Homeland Of Israel" is a phrase that goes to the heart of the matter and teaches that heart to the entire world.  (For that matter Israel could well invite Lebanon, Syria, and Jordan to also label it's produce and manufacture "Made in the Historical Land of Israel," as the Dynasty of King David included these lands -- not that the Arabs would jump at the chance to advertise that historical fact!)

The claim that "International Law" holds Israel to be in violation of "Palestinian" territory is shameful, disgusting, and questionable -- even when setting aside that Israeli identity is properly Palestinian by definition!  Israel should make every effort to find a way -- openly, before all the nations of the world, and in every proper legal and media venue -- to challenge the rulings, opinions, and resolutions of such as the UNGA and the ICJ.  It should be possible for Israel to go directly before the ICJ to challenge the anti-Israel 2004 ICJ Decision regarding the Israel Security Fence;  Israel should challenge that Decision based on two concepts: (1) Jurisdiction, and (2) Success.   Not only did Israel in 2004 not acknowledge ICJ jurisdiction nor participate in those ICJ proceedings; but, the ICJ should now realize, recognize, and rescind it's 2004 Decision, which it should do based on it's own review by which it must conclude that it improperly assumed jurisdiction.  And, the success of the Israel Security Fence in bringing positive security results to the benefit of everyone on both sides of the Fence is proof that the ICJ decision was utterly wrong.

Israel must not surrender it's future to the whims of Hitler's Children, as dictated by the ICJ and as executed by the European Union.  By it's present behavior the EU may be regarded as the "Third Reich Risen".  Was this "Third Reich Risen" the goal of the Marshall Plan?  Is this "Third Reich Risen" how Europe "remembers" and "learns" and "rebuilds" and "reforms" from the ashes of World War II -- of the Shoah?

Israel is the diamond light of the world and must set itself, so as not to shatter under a European/Eurabian Hammer.  All produce and product of the "Historical Land Of Israel" should be so labeled and so be a reminder to all five senses and to all thought and memory throughout the world!   As kosher wine from the vineyards of the "Historical Homeland Of Israel" sparkles diamond-like in every glass, each sip should enliven and liberate every throat to speak a toast, "Yes, I remember!  Israel has a right in it's Historical Homeland!"






Wednesday, July 17, 2013

EUROPEAN UNION ESTABLISHES BOYCOTT CLAUSE INTO BUSINESS AND GRANT CONTRACTS WITH ISRAELI INSTITUTIONS

LYNCHING NOOSE DRAWN TIGHTER AROUND ISRAEL'S NECK

This past week the EU has taken an huge step towards the lynching of the State of Israel.  The EU decision this past week to sanction Israel is consistent with the 2004 decision of the ICJ (International Court of Justice in Brussels) to presume to jurisdiction in the matter of Israeli Borders.  It is necessary to recall that the ICJ ruled against Israel's construction of the Security Fence, interpreting and extending that decision to far broader legal and territorial implications.  It is worth noting that (a) Israel has never conceded to ICJ jurisdiction in this matter, and that (b) it is the existence of the Security Fence that has brought terrorism against Israel [from the Arabs of the "West Bank" and "East Jerusalem"] to a virtual standstill.  The ICJ decision presumed to deny Israel it's rights and it's means to prevent terror.  Israel rightly neither accepted then nor accepts now any presumed ICJ jurisdiction in the matter of borders, nor has Israel ever acceded to the horrendous ICJ decision.

Today (and to be effective in 2014) in tandem with the ICJ decision of 2004 the EU explicitly now defines the Golan, East Jerusalem, and Judea-Samaria (the "West Bank") to be "Occupied Palestinian Territory".  This is (1) despite the record of Arab terrorism against Israel (2) despite the lack of a peace agreement between Israel and the 'Palestinians' (3)  despite the obdurate and official "state of war" that exists against Israel by more than twenty Muslim Arabian countries surrounding Israel (Egypt and Jordan are two singular exceptions) (4) despite the obvious threat to Israel of Iran's terrorist client entities (e.g. Hezbollah and Hamas) (5) despite Iran's relentless push towards nuclear weapons capability, and (6) despite the questionable foundation to presumed legal authority by the ICJ in 2004.

The ICJ is an arm of the UN (United Nations).  The UN is today staunchly anti-Israel (and anti-Western) and is locked in a "love affair" with Arabia, Russia, and China that predetermines incessant anti-Israel UN Resolutions, one after another, which undermine Israel's existential right.  Israel is attacked unendingly in the UN, in the media, in governmental bodies, even in institutions of higher learning; Israel is disrespected in principle and in precedent by resolutions, decrees, rulings, pecuniary supports of terrorists, and by pecuniary offenses against Israel (e.g. boycotts).  There is, too, the never-ending disrespect to Jewish character and the unconditional bigotry against Jews.

Israel must regard both (a) the current EU decree to sanction Israel and (b) the dishonest foundation for that decree of the ICJ decision of 2004 (c) to be not merely tactics to press Israel towards a 'tough' but 'noble' and 'courageous' agreement with the 'Palestinians'.  Israel must regard both the decision of the ICJ and the decree of the EU to be symbolic of a failed European Conscience that would serve up Israel for dinner to Hamas, Hezbollah, and Fatah and call it a "negotiation".  Israel must not allow itself to be a "goose" around which a "noose" is tightened, lest Israel's "goose" be "cooked".