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Tuesday, October 25, 2016

VIEWPOINTS BY GARY KASPAROV AND STEPHEN COHEN REGARDING RUSSIAN-AMERICAN RELATIONS...

(Note: Please reference the conversation broadcast 10/24/2016 on the radio program OnPoint <https://disqus.com/home/discussion/wburfm/garry_kasparov_is_watching_russia_move_on_election_2016/#edit-2966574554>. Note also that this post regarding the Kasparov/Cohen conversation bookends nicely to the immediately preceding post "ROSH HASHANAH - YOM KIPPUR 5777".)

VIEWPOINTS BY GARY KASPAROV AND STEPHEN COHEN NEED NOT BE PERCEIVED TO BE  CONTRADICTORY; AND, THEIR COMBINED VIEWS MAY COMPLEMENT EACH OTHER AND ALLOW FOR A GREATER SENSE OF THE DEPTH OF THE REALITY.

Stress, be it personal stress or mass stress, may lead to xenophobia. Both Mr. Kasparov and Prof. Cohen have evidenced the existence of xenophobia in the context of the present issues under discussion, even though the word "xenophobia" was not itself under discussion.

Xenophobia may have both religious and political manifestations and consequences, especially when national, ethnic, racial, and economic factors are germane to stress and conflict. Such rampant xenophobia has obviously raised it's head above ground in Africa, the Middle East, and Central Asia. And, while the world has it's eye's "over there", it is also true that xenophobia has it's constituencies in the USA, Europe, and Russia.  The figureheads of these xenophobic constituencies are Putin, Trump, and (arguably) Clinton, and in Europe there are equivalent figureheads and equivalent constituencies.

There is no shortage of Superpower aggression, be it American, European, Russian, Chinese, and so on. Nor is there any shortage of aggression by proxy nations. So at issue, given the brinksmanship that may lead to war between the US and Russia, is whether or not these tensions may be released and relieved in ways that may trend to peace and not war. 

The oil and gas wars in the Ukraine and in the Middle East represent the flip side of the coin that is the religious-political-national-ethnic-racial stew of currency that has been cooked too long and is burnt to the point that the entire oven may catch fire. Can the stew be saved?

Who in his or her right mind would expect Russia to sacrifice it's vital strategic control of Crimea?  Is it too naive to suppose that Russia's xenophobia -- which is reflected by it's internal affairs and also by it's aggression in the Middle East, the Ukraine, and along the borders of the Baltic States -- may begin to ratchet down, if and only if the West comes to an agreement with Russia about the Ukraine?  

If  a glance at the map is at all suggestive, it is that the entire region of Baltic States, Belarus, and Ukraine (less Crimea) should be one larger political entity capable of common economy,  common defense, and common economic and political ties with Russia to the east and Europe to the west.  Only in this way may the constant game of the Cold War truly come to an end (reference the map below). Negotiating to bring the Cold War to it's final end may then coincide with bringing the Middle East War to an end. 

Assad may or may not remain in power; but, the geography over which any Syrian regime rules may necessarily shrink in order to accommodate the rightful needs of Assad's enemies. Still, the future may see four Middle East oil and natural gas pipeline routes capable of supplying Europe: (1) Iran --> Iraq --> Syria -- Europe (2) Iraq --> Turkey --> Europe (3) Iraq --> Syria --> Europe (4) Qatar --> Saudi Arabia --> Jordan -- > Syria --> Turkey --> Europe (reference the maps below). Syria is a pathway for three of these routes and a distribution center for two of those routes. Oil politics reflects the balance of power in the Middle East. Rational minds should perceive that multiple players and multiple routes would be a win-win all around. The sooner that hostilities  cease and peace is negotiated, then the sooner it will be that the devastated areas of the Middle East may be rebuilt, and that the majority of refugees may either return to their former homes or resettle to new homes.  

It is likely that in redrawing the map of the Middle East, Syria may shrink and much of eastern Syria may be absorbed by into Iraq and Iraq may become a Confederation comprised of an Arab-Sunni Province, a Kurdish Province, and a Shiite Province (success would be contingent upon a Western supported "Marshall Plan" modeled after the Marshall Plan that rebuilt Europe subsequently to WW2).

Failure to accomplish peace in the manner described above may prove both Gary Kasparov and Stephen Cohen to be equally correct beyond their worst nightmares.








Tuesday, October 11, 2016

ROSH HASHANNAH - YOM KIPPUR 5777

EREV YOM KIPPUR 5777 - KOL NIDRE

DEDICATED TO HASHEM, ISRAEL, BIBI NETANYAHU (MAY HE LIVE LONG), AND SHIMON PERES OF BLESSED MEMORY....

Pros and Cons of working with Russian and Turkey to Fight ISIS (a tentative viewpoint):

The one comment made during the second presidential debate that struck me as significant was the comment by Hillary Clinton, that she would establish "no-fly zones", but, would not send significant ground troops into Syria, and that she would supply weapons and trainers to the Kurds and Arab Sunni Rebels to fight ISIS. This is what we have been doing, and it appears that her intention as President would be to ramp up that particular strategy. So, what is the wisdom of such a ground game, pro and con? Firstly with respect to our NATO "ally" Turkey: supplying the Kurds with weapons and trainers has been done on a limited scale, owing to the Turkish antipathy to the Kurds, and we have relied on Kurdish courage, bravery, and skill; ramping up equipment and training for the Kurds may place us at odds with Turkey. Secondly, also with respect to Turkey, supplying Arab Sunni Rebels may be a double-edged sword, because some of these rebels are also at odds with Turkey. Thirdly, neither the Kurds nor the Arab Sunnis have much love for each other or for the Shia Iraqis, with whom for the moment there is a fragile unity against ISIS. Fourthly, as ISIS is also composed primarily of Arab Sunnis (Al-Quaeda + BATH Party = ISIS), Arab Sunni Rebels are a more natural ally to ISIS -- and so not only is there such a risk to us and to the Kurds and to the Shia, there is the obvious reason that -- according to Syria, Russia, and Iran -- no distinction is to be made between ISIS and Arab Sunni Rebels (be those rebels Al-Quaeda, Al-Nusra, or any other (Al-"). Fifthly, with respect to "no fly zones", one must ask, would these be negotiated and established via the UN or by the US and Russia in binary negotiations or by NATO in conjunction with Syria and Russia? The risk of air conflicts between NATO forces and both Russia and Syria is already too real. Sixthly, what is our intended end game of all of this Syria-Iraq-ISIS Conflict? There is no coherent end game, therefore there is no coherent strategy, IMHO. There is the appearance of an end game -- that Bashar Al-Asad must go, and that there must be an end to the slaughter of [mostly Sunni] innocents; yet, our intended "weekend" jaunt into Syria has devolved into five-years of conflict with no end in sight, several hundred thousand casualties, millions of refugees, and Asad still thriving in power. Both the humanitarian crisis, political crisis, and balance of power crisis remain to be resolved.

IMHO, it is both the BALANCE OF POWER CRISIS and the POLITICAL CRISIS that must be resolved in order that the HUMANITARIAN CRISIS be resolved.  As long as there is benefit to  various power players in the conflict to prevent cessation of the humanitarian crisis, then the humanitarian crisis will continue.  Thus far it is the Syria of Asad, Iran, Russia, and our "ally" Turkey, who have benefited from the humanitarian crisis by the strengthening of Asad's Syria, by the destabilization of Iraq, and by the destabilization of Europe.  There are those, who blame the post-Nine-Eleven War on Iraq as the primary cause of all this.  Respectfully, such destabilization was likely inevitable; it is stupid and foolish to get caught up in the divisiveness of the blame game, and wiser to look at the opportunities to make peace, and with whom.

Turkey and Saudi Arabia benefit by the existence of ISIS.  The expansion of Islamist Turkey and Islamist ISIS cannot be seen as independent of each other.  The deliberate refusal of Saudi Arabia to put troops on the ground against ISIS is a "tell" that any poker player should be able to see.  Whatever the convoluted pathways of money, power, and weapons may be in Islamic World, both Sunni and Shia, the humanitarian crisis there is a crisis in the balance of power of the Islamic World, though that crisis does certainly exist in context to the balance of power dissonances of the Great Powers (USA, Russia, China).

It must be pointed out that in Turkey the primarily Arab Sunni refugees owe their lives to Erdogan, who although being a hated Turk in Arab eyes, is also Sunni and is their benefactor.  We have seen Erdogan brutally consolidate his Islamist Regime in Turkey.  Turkish-Saudi cooperation is therefore likely; neither the Turks nor the Saudis are on the ground fighting ISIS, although the Turks give lip service to fighting ISIS directly, when the reality is that they fight the Kurds and they fight some of the Arab Sunni Rebels in an effort to get them to tow the line (IMHO).  IMHO we are seeing a regional shift in the balance of power that is being defined by an alliance of the Saudis and the Turks, which represents an alliance of these historical enemies based on Sunni Religion, technological modernization, economic advantage, geographic and military cooperation, and a future anticipating desalinization of water and stabilization of fossil fuel patterns even as alternative energies experience growth.

It is therefore incumbent upon the Great Powers to perceive these trends in order to negotiate a balance of power and political stability.  A pause in the humanitarian crisis becomes possible, as soon as the Great Powers and the Regional Powers get on the same page and define the balance of power and political stability of the region.  The Iran Nuclear Deal and the Syria Chemical Weapons Deal do create a positive wind towards doing so and against devolution into chemical and nuclear war in the imminent future, but, regional peace must be established, if such a present reality is to maintain into the long term future.

In order for this to happen Russia needs much more than a bone as well as a diminution of insult from the West.  The starting point has already included some meat in the form of the Syria Chemical Weapons Deal and the Iran Nuclear Deal.  It is time that an official split of the Ukraine be negotiated by the West with Russia.  The ethnic, religious, geographic, and strategic reasons for doing so should be quite clear (unless of course it is the intent of the West to utterly cut off Russia from the Middle East, Arabia, and South Central Asia).

What then should political resolution of Syria-Iraq-Kurdish regions look like?  Perhaps Joseph Biden had it right in suggesting that at root Iraq should be split into three largely independent geographies:  Kurdistan, Sunnistan, and Shiastan [Sunnistan and Shiastan are my own original terms for the Sunni and Shia geographies].  Such a regional set of compromises would mean that the Kurds would not get all that they want, otherwise there would be no chance of getting Turkey onboard; the Sunni may never see Baghdad again and may lose much of the existing oil infrastructure including beachfront property on the Persian Gulf; the Iraqi Shia would have Baghdad and the port areas and therefore would gain the commercial and political value of such hegemony, which would include the possibility of becoming a strong commercial brokerage center with respect to the other Persian Gulf States (e.g. Iran Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, etc.).  It may be that the key to peace would be that these three entities be confederated; and, though they may govern themselves largely independently, a central government would govern common interests and the power and benefits of that government would necessarily be evenly split three ways.  Implementation of such a reality would require either and American or a NATO presence analogous to the Marshall Plan.

It must be said as well that the entire Middle East Region including Saudi Arabia and Iran must cease bashing Israel and must engage in lasting peace with Israel.  The required elements are easy enough to understand and to implement: (1) All twenty Arab Nations still formally in a status  of war with Israel since 1948 must unconditionally terminate that status and must unconditionally normalize relations with Israel; (2) Terror organizations such as Hamas, Hezbollah, and Fatah must no longer be supported; (3) Egypt, which has already made peace with Israel, should be encouraged to sell at least ten-percent of the Sinai to Israel, so that once and for all the Arabs in and around Israel may understand that lands lost to them due to their own aggressions may not be taken for granted to be lands that would be returned to them; (4) Arab countries should accept settlement by Palestinian Arabs presently protected under Israeli hegemony, be those Palestinian Arabs "refugees" or Israeli citizens, given that approximately half of the Palestinian Arab population desires to be independent of Israel; (5) Judea-Samaria, the Golan, and the Sheva Farms geographies must be fully integrated into and accepted worldwide as belonging to the State of Israel; and (6) Jerusalem must be understood and accepted to be the undivided Capitol of the State of Israel.

It is not impossible to imagine a continuation of the Asad Regime, though it is difficult to imagine such a continuation, if Asad does not stand down his present strategy of laying waste to his very real enemies.  If Asad were to offer three fig leaves: (a) to abruptly cease his devastation of his enemies; (b) to secure his de facto constituency; and (c) to allow a well-supervised flow of humanitarian aid (supervised by the Russians, perhaps, to guarantee a flow of only food and medicine and not weapons); then, Asad may regain some moral high ground and put the onus on his enemies to do the same or face the World's retribution.












Tuesday, April 28, 2015

NEPAL EARTHQUAKE AND DRONE SHIPPING

PROOF OF CONCEPT OPPORTUNITY


Why is it that our military is so drone adept for surveillance and killing, yet, it is not (or at least appears not) capable for disaster deployment?

http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/nepal-earthquake-drones-used-by-canadian-relief-team-1.3051106

One hopes that such excellent and innovative corporate leaders, such as Jeff Bezos, who are already at work to innovate shipping via drone deployment, may at this very moment be on the telephone with SOD Ashton Carter and with CJCF Martin Dempsey, proposing to join "forces" beyond the odd camera drone in order to deliver actual relief throughout the earthquake region in Nepal, most especially beyond the city of Katmandu, where road access remains blocked.

One hopes as well that any such plan may incorporate the use of military and/or commercial cargo jets for airdrops of supplies to those in Nepal, who are suffering.  Presumably the capability already exists for the launch and recovery of drones from cargo planes.

There must already exist maps of Nepal according to which the locations and populations of need may already be inferred and thus airdrops may be planned and executed immediately. Better to airdrop now based on estimated need, than to wait and see, as people to die.

Is there any reason that the military cannot make use of paratroopers and parachute them into the more isolated earthquake areas of Nepal with tools including communications devices and medical equipment and supplies?

Tuesday, April 14, 2015

CONGRESSIONAL REVIEW OF THE IRAN NUCLEAR DEAL

PRESIDENT OBAMA COMPROMISES ON SENATE INITIATIVE

Is it just me?

Or, are there others, who like me do feel their stomachs fluttering and perhaps even quaking a bit, having heard simultaneous announcements that Russia and Iran have made an S-300 Missile System deal and that the White House has signed onto the Senate initiative regarding the Iran Nuclear Talks?  (It is a good thing that the Senate came together across Party Lines and that President Obama cooperated.)

"Serendipity doo-da... serendiptiy-ehhh.... I've got a feeling it's a wonderful day [in the Chinese sense of 'wonderful' -- analogous to the Chinese sense of 'interesting']...."  Come on... you know you want to sing that tune with me!

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/04/15/us/senators-reach-deal-on-iran-nuclear-talks.html?_r=0

WHEN IRANISH AND RUSSISH EYES ARE SMILING:

QUESTIONS REGARDING THE ANNOUNCED SALE OF THE S-300 RUSSIAN MISSILE SYSTEM TO IRAN...

1) Will the S-300 Missile System provide Iran with an effective "iron dome" of protection against an attack of it's nuclear facilities, military facilities, and government facilities?

2) Will deployment of the S-300 Missile System be observable to American and Israeli and Other human and technological Intelligence systems?

3) If the S-300 Missile System is observable to non-Iranian Intelligence, then may the existence of this System reveal high priority Iranian targets (especially nuclear infrastructure targets)?

4) Will there be enough scope to the Iranian S-300 deployment, such that Iran may move S-300 missiles, where they may "protect" neighborhoods of internal opposition to Iran's theocracy (which then America or Israel or Others might then mistakenly target and destroy, harming the Iranian internal opposition and aiding the Iranian theocracy)?

5) Will there be sufficient scope to the Iranian S-300 deployment plan, that Iran may move S-300 missiles, where they may "protect" dummy targets, deceiving America or Israel or Others into believing in false locations of presumed priority targets?

6) Is the timing and the announcement of this Russian-Iranian missile deal a "stick-it-to-ya" moment that Putin and Rouhani are celebrating at the expense of Obama? Or is Obama a less obvious party to this deal? 

7) Did Putin and Rouhani both just save 15% on their car insurance by switching to GEICO?

8) Are Putin and Rouhani arrogantly confident that neither Obama nor Netanyahu nor Another will order an attack against Iranian priority targets? Are Putin and Rouhani arrogantly attempting to provoke attack? Are Putin and Rouhani offering a gambit that only an arrogant or ill-advised fool would accept? Are Putin and Rouhani bluffing? Is Obama indeed the naked emperor, and the whole world laughing at him? Or is America the naked empire, and the entire world poised to flay the U.S.?

Iran and Hezbollah have been removed from the U.S. Annual Security Threat Assessment.  If you would like to read about this, please cut and paste the following link into your browser...

http://www.newsweek.com/iran-and-hezbollah-omitted-us-terror-threat-list-amid-nuclear-talks-314073.

Cuba is about to be removed from the list of state sponsors of terrorism, which gives rise to the question, "Is Obama about to make "good" on his promise to close down Guantanamo?" The logical next step for Obama may then be to completely abandon the American Naval Base at Guantanamo, even as Russia and China expand military and infrastructure activities in the Caribbean and in South America...

http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2015/apr/14/obama-remove-cuba-list-state-sponsors-terrorism.


If you would like to read an excellent article about the Russia-Iran missile deal announcement (including a great grinning photo of Rouhani and Putin) please cut and paste the following link into your browser...

http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/04/13/us-iran-nuclear-russia-idUSKBN0N40YX20150413.

If you would like to read an excellent and well-illustrated article about the S-300 Missile System, please cut and paste the following link into your browser...

http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-22652131.

Tuesday, March 24, 2015

ISRAELI PRIME MINISTER NETANYAHU WON HIS RE-ELECTION BEAUTIFULLY.

PM NETANYAHU STATED THE CASE FOR ISRAEL CLEARLY.

First, he made the case before the entire world that Israel's national security and national integrity are paramount.  He defined national security and national integrity in terms of present exterior and interior threats, e.g. Iran, ISIS, Hamas, Fatah, Hezbollah, etc.

Second, by declaring, "There will be no State of Palestine on my watch," he defined Israeli national security and national integrity as being (a) independent of the pressure of the worldwide lynch-mob mentality towards Israel and (b) independent of American political pressure from the Presidency, should that Presidency unwisely seek to impose it's own castration of Israel.

Third, he alerted Israel and the world to the fact of an active Fifth Column in Israel in which "left-wing Israeli's were transporting 'Arabs' to the polls in droves."  This allegedly racist comment has drawn much unjustifiable condemnation, even to the point of public apology!  Can you imagine!  Should a man, who saves his village by plugging his finger into the breach hole of a dam to prevent the dam from bursting, be made to apologize for doing so?  Such is the perversity of popular public opinion!

"EMPEROR" OBAMA SHOULD BE GRATEFUL TO ISRAELI P.M. NETANYAHU, MUCH AS THE LEGENDARY EMPEROR, WHO ONCE UPON A TIME, WAS ENLIGHTENED BY AN HONEST AND SOLITARY INDIVIDUAL -- EVEN A CHILD -- WHO EXCLAIMED, "THE EMPEROR IS NAKED!"

"EMPEROR" OBAMA AND HIS CADRE SHOULD UNDERSTAND THAT TIMES HAVE CHANGED SINCE THE DAYS OF GOLDA MEIR AND MOSHE DAYAN.

The idealism of Jewish and Arab secularists has given way to the pragmatism of the default reality, that Jews are Jews and Arabs are Arabs.  And the vast majority of Arabs are Muslim of one flavor or another.

The dominant Muslim flavor at present and throughout the history of Modern Israel is Jihadism of the Hamas and Hezbollah varieties.  The progenitors of these jihadist mentalities are Saudi Arabia (Sunni Jihadism) and Iran (Shia Jihadism).  Interlocuter between these two apparent competitors are the Bathists and the Muslim Brotherhood.  In Iraq the Bathists at this very moment are using social media to publicize and finger the names and faces of 100-American Servicemen, calling on Muslims around the world to kill these American Servicemen at will; this is chillingly reminiscent of the American deck of cards depicting the 52 "Most Wanted" Iraqui leaders (Saddam Hussein was the Ace of Spades) that Americans hunted down during the Second Iraq War.

We should all perceive by now that the effort to compartmentalize the Arab-Israel Conflict into a much smaller "Arab-Palestine" Conflict has failed and has caused great harm to Arabs and Jews, to Palestinians and Israelis, and to any rational idea of a State of Palestine.  And the so-called "demographic"problem of Israel is also falsely framed, as  not all Arabs are Muslim Jihadists;  but, among Israel's Arab citizenry, the majority may be Muslim Jihadists, perceived for what they are by their creation and celebration of "Al-Naqba" and their non-celebration of Israel Independence Day -- a day which gave them their Israeli citizenship.

In Judea-Samaria and in Gaza, the population majority are occupying Muslim Jihadists, who unambivalently wage a war of annihilation against Israel in proxy for larger Arabia.  It is worth noting that Gaza, which Israel "disengaged" itself from in 2005, has forced Israel to engage militarily time and time again.  Judea-Samaria under Israeli "occupation" has steadily experienced economic and social growth and diminished violence.  There can be no clearer "social science or political experiment"; nor can there be a clearer argument, that Judea-Samaria must remain under Israeli hegemony.

Given the Palestine reality; given that only Egypt and Jordan have made peace with Israel; and given that since 1948 at least twenty Arab nations maintain an official state of war with Israel; it should be clear that Israeli PM Netanyahu has done what must be done to maintain Israeli integrity.

There was no guarantee of electoral victory in Israel for PM Netanyahu.  PM Netanyahu is to be lauded for his exercise of the right to speak freely before the Congress of the USA.  Had PM Netanyahu not spoken truth to power in the timely way that he did speak (contemporary to the American nuclear negotiations with Iran), then PM Netanyahu might not have had the opportunity or prestige of office by which to address Congress, America, and thereby world at large.

If there was any doctrine of fairness in the world, then (a) the world would hold Arabia accountable for it's continued official state of war of annihilation against Israel, (2) the world would deny Arabia the right to vote or hold offices of power in the UN, UNGA, and UNSC, (3) the world would allow Israel to serve on the UNSC, (4) the world would support relocation of the jihadist populations of Judea-Samaria and Gaza into existing recognized Arab countries, where jihadists would genuinely be at home, (5) the world would hold Arabia accountable for the fomentation of terrorism against Israel by proxy in the disguises of "Palestinian Human Rights" or "Israeli Occupation", (6) and the world would encourage Egypt to give or sell Israel a significant portion of Sinai in exchange for world assistance in the development of Egypt's proposed new capitol city and the development of Egyptian fresh water projects.

This sixth idea must be framed and understood as an amelioration of the lopsided Israel-Egypt Peace Treaty of 1979, according to which Israel, having won the Sinai twice in defensive warfare, returned the entirety of Sinai to Egypt in exchange for peace.  While at the time such an agreement may or may not have been necessary to assure America's cold-war-era consolidation of Egypt into the American camp and away from the Russian camp, the local effect in the Middle East did set a terrible precedent: that Arab nations could wage terrorism and wars of annihilation against Israel and then be rewarded for their aggression against Israel at no consequence.  Why should lands won by Israel, either by legal purchase or by defensive war, be expected to be returned completely to Arabian nations in an atmosphere of worldwide support and ratification?

Is it any wonder, that today's UN is so lopsidedly anti-Israel, that Hamas and Fatah make it clear in their Charters, that all of Israel is defined as an illegal [against Muslim Law] "Occupation" of "Palestine", that the goal of their entities is to "liberate Palestine", and that none of their official maps depict the existence of the State of Israel?

Therefore, in our time today, an amelioration of the 1979 Israel-Egypt Peace Treaty must see to the material improvement of present day Egypt and to the return to Israel of at least a portion of the Sinai.

And for all of these reasons, we must ameliorate our chorus of songs to the Naked Emperor; we must cease to extol the fine thread of his non-existent Garment; we must arouse his conscience and his consciousness; and we must all insist, that the Emperor be fully, properly, and honestly clothed!

***************************************************

Thursday of this week is March 26, 2015 and marks the 36-year anniversary of the Israel-Egypt Peace Treaty.


Monday, March 2, 2015

A SPEECH FOR PM BENJAMIN NETANYAHU

RECOMMENDED TO BE MADE TO THE CONGRESS OF THE USA

In the year 1624 A.D. the legendary English poet John Donne authored a book entitled "Devotions Upon Emergent Occasions," and he writes in his most famous Meditation XVII,

"No man is an island entire of itself; every man
is a piece of the continent, a part of the main;
if a clod be washed away by the sea, Europe
is the less, as well as if a promontory were, as
well as any manner of thy friends or of thine
own were; any man's death diminishes me,
because I am involved in mankind. And therefore
never send to know for whom the bell tolls;
it tolls for thee."

(pause)

"It tolls for thee."

(pause again)

These words of John Donne (who in his youth fought alongside Sir Walter Raleigh and later became famous as a cleric and poet) ring as truly today as they did in his time and one may say they ring truly for all time.

There are Americans, who still regard the New World as an island of itself; and there are British, who still regard Britain as an island of itself; indeed, there are
Israelis, who regard Israel as an island of itself, albeit a social island surrounded by a sea of hostility.  The island nature is real enough.  And the potential threats islands may face are real enough.  The threats become greater, when they are ignored or explained away or not fully appreciated for the threats that they are.

So what is the threat today, and how may that threat be appreciated, that it may be faced with eyes wide open?  That threat is Iran, and while that threat is felt most acutely and immediately in Israel, it is a threat that is no less potent in it's import with respect to the larger Middle East, India, Europe, Britain, and America.

The militant nature of Iran is a matter of present historical record.  Ever since the regime of the Mullahs has ruled Iran, Iran has been the greatest single source of terrorism in the world.  And now Iran is on the verge of becoming a nuclear threat.  Nuclear power in and of itself is a powerful tool that may be used for good or evil.  How it is used depends on the hands that wield it.

The Iranian regime of the Mullahs has repeatedly stated as a matter of policy that it would wipe Israel from the face of the Earth, and this regime has already established a militant record for decades against Israel by manning, training, supporting, and supplying terrorist organizations such as Hezbollah and Hamas.

It was Hezbollah that bombed the Jewish Center in Buenos Aires in 1994, killing eighty-five persons and injuring hundreds; it was two Hezbollah suicide bombers, who attacked the American and French barracks in Beirut in 1983, killing the two-suicide bombers, killing six civilians, injuring seventy-five persons, and killing two-hundred-and-ninty-nine American and French soldiers.

Iran has labelled Israel "Little Satan."  Iran has labelled the USA "Big Satan."

One may infer that Iran regards Britain and Europe as the "Medium Satan".

This type of language, by which Iran describes you and I, is not the speech of diplomacy; rather, it is the speech of megalomania -- megalomania with the potential to hold nuclear power in it's hands.  In every manner of thought, speech, and action the Iranian regime of the Mullahs has already shown it's face and it's arms to the world.  If the world fails to stay the course of Iran's present regime, then the consequences become inevitable; and, those consequences are not beyond imagination; those consequences are: increase of Iranian totalitarianism, increase of Iranian born terrorism, and increase of nuclear proliferation.

Iran must be constrained militarily and financially, as it is already awash in black market money, despite existing sanctions.  This is why greater sanctions must be enacted and enforced against Iran.  And we must ask, whether or not ISIS or Al-Quaeda or Fatah are funded by Iran, just as Hamas is funded by Iran.

Much is made of the hatred between Sunni Muslims and Shia Muslims.  Perhaps too much is made of this rift.  The Mullahs perceive themselves to be an apocryphal regime, and former Iranian President Ahmadinijad regards himself as The Mahdi -- the Messiah of Islam destined to reconcile and reunite all Islam.

All of the fundamentalist Muslim regimes, be they Shia or Sunni, regard themselves as apocryphal.  And Pakistan, the one Muslim regime that is already a nuclear power, is only questionably stable and is riddled with Taliban.

The issue at hand is the timeliness of additional sanctions against Iran in appreciation of the reality of the Iranian threat.

So, I am here in Washington today to say one thing and one thing only:

(pause)

"... the bell tolls for thee."

















Monday, September 8, 2014

ARE PRESIDENT OBAMA AND HIS INTERNATIONAL ALLIES PROPERLY CONCERNED ABOUT THE PROLIFERATION OF WESTERN WEAPONRY AND TRAINING THROUGHOUT THE MUSLIM WORLD?

IF THE WEST IS WORKING WITH ALAWI SYRIA, SHIA IRAQ, AND SHIA IRAN ON THE ONE HAND AND WITH SUNNI TURKEY, SUNNI SAUDIA ARABIA, AND SUNNI EGYPT ON THE OTHER HAND; THEN IN IN BOTH CASES -- SHIA AND SUNNI -- THE WEST IS SPREADING WESTERN WEAPONRY AND TRAINING INTO THE TURKISH, ARAB, EGYPTIAN, AND PERSIAN WORLDS; AND THESE WEAPONS MAY COME BACK TO HAUNT US, AND TO ONE DEGREE OR ANOTHER, ALREADY HAVE DONE SO.

No doubt there are those, who will say, "It's all in the game... on the one hand, these nations we are working with are all our enemies; and on the other hand, they are all our clients... and if we don't do the providing, then the Russians and the Chinese will (which they will do anyway, so, it comes down to who gets how many pieces of the respective pies)."

With all that oil and all those weapons contracts at stake, is it any wonder, that so many civilians are being butchered by so many parties in so many distinct and creative ways?

There are those, whose perspective on the diverse world of Islam is, "Kill 'em all and let G-d sort it out... even better, let 'em kill each other."  Is this the democratic model we expect the non-democratic world to welcome with warm hearts and with open minds?

Sooner or later, one way or another, what goes around comes around; so, we of Western persuasion would be naive to think that ordinance stops "over there";   we had darn well better do our best to bring immediate threats to an end quickly and with minimal further harm to civilians; and we had darn well better do our best to give the world of Islam reason to sing our praises, beyond the obvious praises of respect for Western military capabilities, to the rebuilding of lives, polities, and economies, which have been ripped apart.

Monday, August 11, 2014

PRESIDENT OBAMA NEEDS TO SHOW STRENGTH AND NOT WEAKNESS.

In an interview with the New York Times’ Thomas L. Friedman, the president said that Netanyahu was “too strong” and Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas [Abu Mazen] was “too weak.”

According to Obama, in order for Netanyhau to come to the negotiating table and make concessions, the prime minister needs to feel more pressure from his cabinet and Israelis.

The president pointed to the fact that Netanyahu’s “poll numbers are a lot higher than mine,” which “were greatly boosted by the war in Gaza.”



WITH ALL DUE RESPECT TO PRESIDENT OBAMA, HE HAS IMPLIED AN HIGHLY CYNICAL VIEW, THAT NETANYAHU WENT INTO GAZA PURELY FOR POLITICAL REASONS OF POPULARITY.  THE EQUALLY IMPLIED INVERSE TO THAT VIEW IS THAT OBAMA WANTS US TO INFER THAT HE COULD EASILY BOOST HIS OWN RATINGS BY GOING TO WAR, EVEN WRONGLY SO... AS IF THERE WERE ANY EQUIVALENCE OF A THREAT SCALE THAT PARALLELS AMERICA'S EXISTENTIAL THREAT TO ISRAEL'S IMMEDIATE EXISTENTIAL THREAT.

PERHAPS THE REAL LESSON TO BE LEARNED FROM ISRAELI P.M. NETANYAHU IS THAT IN THE CONTEXTS OF SYRIA, IRAQ, IRAN PAKISTAN, AFGHANISTAN, AND OF OTHER JIHADIST HOT SPOTS, SUCH AS THOSE IN AFRICA, PRESIDENT OBAMA NEEDS TO SHOW STRENGTH AND NOT WEAKNESS... THIS BECAUSE OF THE NEED TO SHOW STRENGTH AND NOT FOR THE SAKE OF POLITICAL POPULARITY (WHICH IN THE U.S.A. IS AN OPEN QUESTION, AS THE NATION IS DIVIDED AMONG ITSELF AND IS GEOGRAPHICALLY DISTANT FROM EVEN IT'S REAL THREATS).

ISRAEL IS THE PROVERBIAL "CANARY IN THE COAL MINE" IN THE WORLD WAR AGAINST JIHADISM.  HAVE WE IN THE U.S.A. FORGOTTEN NINE-ELEVEN ALREADY?  WE ARE BUT A MONTH AWAY FROM THE "BAR MITZVAH" YEAR SINCE NINE-ELEVEN.  WE DARE NOT CHOOSE TO BE BLIND TO THE REAL THREAT OF I.S.I.S. (OR I.S.I.L.), AS I.S.I.S. BEHEADS SYRIA AND IRAQ, ENSLAVES THEIR WOMEN AND CHILDREN, AND CRUELLY (AND CRUDELY) CUTS OUT THE CLITORISES OF THEIR HUMILIATED, SUBJUGATED FEMALE CAPTIVES.

IF EVER WAS A TIME TO ENGAGE THE DRAFT, NOW IS THAT TIME.  AND IF THAT DRAFT INITIALLY SERVES PRIMARILY DOMESTIC PURPOSES, THEN THAT IN ITSELF WOULD YET BE A GOOD START.  WE FAIL TO BE BRAVE IN THIS RESPECT AT OUR OWN AMERICAN PERIL.

IT IS NOT A BRAVE CHOICE TO CONTINUE A POLICY OF WEAKNESS, NOR A BRAVE CHOICE FOR THIS NATION TO STUFF ITSELF SILLY ON MCNUGGETS, EVEN AS THE WORLD AT LARGE GOES TO PIECES.  NOR DARE WE FORGET THE PRESSING ISSUES OF THE UKRAINE, OF THE ASIAN SEAS, AND OF EVER MINDFUL TIBET.

PERHAPS IT IS A PRESIDENTIAL CALCULATION, THAT THE SHOCK OF I.S.I.S. MUST NEEDS BE THE CATALYST TO IGNITE IRAQ INTO THE TYPE OF UNITY IT MUST MANIFEST IN ORDER FOR GOOD TO COME TO IRAQ FOR THE LONG RUN.  PERHAPS SUCH A SUCCESS IN IRAQ MAY THEN SERVE VALUE AS MODEL FOR SYRIA AND FOR AFGHANISTAN.  IF THIS IS THE PRESIDENTIAL CALCULATION, THEN WE CAN ONLY PRAY THAT IT IS THE CORRECT CALCULATION AND THAT THE EFFECTS OF THAT CALCULATED POLICY WILL NOT BE FALL TERRIBLY SHORT OF GOAL.


Wednesday, August 6, 2014

HAMAS SHOULD BE CONDEMNED AS A GENOCIDAL ORGANIZATION.


HAMAS IS NOT MERELY A TERRORIST ORGANIZATION.

It is long overdue, that the world should condemn Hamas for what it is -- a genocidal organization. Hamas is not merely a terrorist organization. Hamas is a genocidal organization publicly devoted to the annihilation of Jews and Israel. Fundamental to the Hamas Charter, this genocidal motivation was reaffirmed by Khaled Meshaal within the past ten days on the Charlie Rose Show.

To call Hamas "militant" or "a resistance force" or even a "terrorist organization" gives a credibility to Hamas that pretends to a gray area --  even a negotiable area -- with respect to it's purpose. If a single Jew is murdered by Hamas, it is an act of genocide; to fail to call it "genocide" is a serious moral, ethical, and legal omission.  Relevant authorities and venues should be called upon to condemn and to prosecute Hamas for genocide.

The idea, that somehow recent events in Israel and Gaza represent a sporting engagement in which the capability of Israel to defend itself is regarded as being "disproportionately" superior to the capabilities of Hamas, belies the reality that, were the shoe on the other foot, Hamas would annihilate Israel altogether. The imperative of Israel is survival and self-defense; the imperative of Hamas is genocide. The only "disproportionality" that is relevant is Hamas's genocidal imperative towards Israel. 

Additionally, the world is long overdue to ask:

(1) Why is it, that twenty of twenty-two Arab States continue to maintain an official status of war with Israel subsequent to the 1948 Israeli War of Independence? (Surely the world sees through the red herring, that "Palestinian" statehood is a necessary precondition!)

(2) Who comprise the apparently inexhaustible supply of men disguised under those Hamas hoods?

(3) Is Gaza a training ground for the military and intelligence operations of the Arab and Persian worlds? 

(4) Is Hamas a means by which the entire Arab world and Iran as engage in the steady continuation of a state of war with Israel?

The world has been lulled into believing an illusion -- that if and only if Hamas is brought to heel, then the heretofore elusive Arab-Israel peace may finally be realized. The reality is that Hamas and Fatah and Hezbollah are just a few of the toes of the "Goliath" that Israel faces every day, until such time as a "David" arises in Israel to smite the "Goliath".

The way for Israel to face the "Goliath" is to first ask, that the world make use of the appropriate existing legal venues to charge Hamas with war crimes and with genocide.  Charges of war crimes and genocide should also be brought by the world against Fatah and Hezbollah and even more pressingly against ISIS and Al-Shabaab and Boko Haram.

If venues do not exist to try such non-State or would-be-State entities as these, then the world must create the venues (and the world should do so speedily, especially as regards the situations in Iraq, Syria, Somalia, and Nigeria). In this way the forces of genocide may be sorted out from the socially reasonable demographics in both the Arab world and in the larger Muslim world.  Failure to address such forces of genocide encourages, aids, and abets genocidal agendas.

Sunday, August 3, 2014

07 AV 5773: TISHA B'AV OCCURS IN TWO DAYS, COMPLETING MORE THAN SIX-YEARS SINCE I STARTED THIS BLOG. ISRAEL IS YET AGAIN NECESSARILY AT WAR AGAIN IN GAZA.



ORIGINAL DEDICATION OF THIS BLOG:  "The Three Weeks" commences today 17 Tammuz 5767.  May "The Three Weeks" be marked by the birth of Mashiach.  In the mundane sense of  "mashiach" this Blog is dedicated to peace in Israel and the World -- may peace begin this year -- may we see Peace and Rest in Sderot, and the safe return home of Gilad Shalit, Ehud Goldwasser, Eldad Regev, Guy Hever, Ron Arad, Yehuda Katz, Tzvi Feldman, and Zachary Baumel."

TODAY 07 AV 5773:  Miraculously, Gilad Shalit is safely home alive after his five-year captivity by Hamas (only HaShem knows, what may have befallen him during his captivity).  Ehud Goldwasser, Eldad Regev, Guy Hever, Ron Arad, Yehuda Katz, Tzvi Feldman, and Zachary Baumel are either missing or known to be dead.  As to the present conflict in Gaza, there is no peace in sight; at best there may be a ceasefire -- may there soon be a just ceasefire!

ARE THE HAMAS TUNNELS IN GAZA A TACTIC IN A LARGER STRATEGY OF TUNNELING WITHIN AND WITHOUT THE 'WEST BANK', THE LEBANON, THE GOLAN, AND WITHIN ISRAEL ITSELF? WHAT WOULD 'COLONEL HOGAN' AND HIS 'HEROES' HAVE TO SAY ABOUT THIS?


IS THE APPEARANCE OF RELATIVE QUIET ON ISRAEL'S NORTHERN FRONT, ON THE GOLAN, AND IN THE 'WEST BANK' MERELY A TACTIC IN THE LARGER WAR AGAINST ISRAEL BEING WAGED BY THE ARABS AND BY THE IRAN OF THE MULLAHS?

These are questions that Israel must ask and answer in a timely way, even as Israel necessarily roots out the missiles and the tunnels of Hamas in Gaza.

Israel is always on alert on all fronts -- most especially so, when engaged in war on any singular front.  Even so, at a cost to our attention on other fronts, the singular front at hand occupies our attention and our focus in a variety of ways: militarily, politically, socially, and in the media.

Would it be naive of Israel to accept the popular world view?  The popular world view is that: (a) the present status quo of Lebanon is a de facto peace with Israel since the 2006 Lebanon-Israeli War; (2) the present status quo of the 'West Bank' is a de facto peace with "Palestine" under the leadership of Abu Abbas; and (3) the present status quo of Gaza is one of inevitable stabilization, which is expected to ensue the present active conflict.

There is a legend that the Bar Kochba Revolt against the Romans was betrayed by a 'Jewish' insider, who revealed to the Romans a secret tunnel into Jerusalem.  This same betrayer is said to have assassinated Bar Kochba by tossing a poisonous snake upon him.  So, too, words may be poisonous; therefore, with no actionable knowledge and with a mindfulness of Yiryath Shemayim (Fear and Awe of Heaven), I write these words here now, barely two-days before Tisha B'Av, when we commemorate the ancient destruction of the Holy Temple in Jerusalem... for I have only time, a fallible memory, and obvious-headline media available in the USA from which windows of perspective I may perceive and write about events.

Tunneling in and out of cities is an ancient, legendary, long-standing tradition in the Middle East.  It should be no surprise that the Arabs are tunnel devotees.  In Gaza we have already seen that the more easily obvious tunnels have proven to be only one-level of a multi-level strategy of tunneling; these more obvious tunnels serve dual-use -- first as effective tunnels and then also as distractions away from deeper, more permanent tunnels; Israel has discovered these more permanent tunnels only by accident during this present military engagement.  Are there tunnels within and without the very real prisons in Israel, also waiting to be discovered?

Speaking of discoveries and legends... there is a legendary American television show called "Hogan's Heroes", which showed 168 episodes from 1965 to 1971.  "Hogan's Heroes" has a deserved infinite afterlife in re-runs. The setting of the show is a Nazi-run POW Camp imprisoning American soldiers.   Colonel Hogan and his Heroes, who are American Airmen, prove to be undercover Allied Operatives, who have been assigned by the Allies to be captured by the Nazis in order that they may use their POW Camp as a base of operations against the Nazis.  The key feature of "Hogan's Heroes" is their tunneling within and without the Camp.  Hogan and his Heroes never fail to make fools of such buffoons as Colonel Klink (the Camp Commander), Sergeant Schultz ("I know nothing, nothing...") and the entire Third Reich.

Israel is not Nazi Germany and the Arabs are not American POW's in a Nazi-run POW camp.  So, when the propaganda of Arab and pro-Arab incessantly pounds the ears of the world with the Big Lie that "Jews and Israelis are Nazis", it should be kept in mind that there may be an element of deliberate, sardonic humor in this propaganda, which Israel should not take lightly.  There is great danger in this definitional perversion of the meaning, origin, and identity of Nazis and of Nazism, and of the definitional equation of Jews and Israel with Nazis and Nazism.  As each generation of the Shoah (Holocaust) fades into history, the reality of the Nazis fades away, too; and with each airing of Hogan's Heroes (a wonderful situation comedy from which so much may be learned and from which oppressed peoples may take great humor and great courage) the less critical younger generations may get the mistaken notion that Hitler's Nazis were and are merely a fraternity of fools and buffoons, not to be taken seriously -- and hence, Jews and Israel are merely a fraternity of fools and buffoons, also not to be taken seriously.  Never mind, that Hamas, Hezbollah, and Fatah are all the real, true spawn of the Nazis, of those who joined with the Nazis, and of the philosophies of Nazism and Jihadism!

Simultaneously, the media is being used to label Israel as the devil infant of the USA.  How ironic is that!  And what pernicious tactic is that, too, for if or when that tactic is successful, it will be be successful, when America gets clay feet and chooses to attempt to free itself from the label "Great Satan" by betraying Israel.

The USA, which bailed out Europe, Britain, and much of the world from the impositions of evil by the Axis Powers, is now regarded by much of the world to be a Nazi nation itself -- this, even as Europe, which fell on it's back and on it's stomach before the Nazis, now morphs into Eurabia!  Mockery of Israel and of the USA, which has achieved unprecedented levels since WW2, must not be tolerated.  So, too, the deleterious forces within both America and Israel must not be tolerated, as their criminal and fifth-column realization would undermine the spiritual, material, and democratic best qualities of American and Israeli society.

The world view is that a "Two-State Solution" is but three-steps of a waltz-away from becoming reality; that as soon as Gaza is brought to heel, a "State of Palestine" under Abu Abbas may be realized... contingent upon requirements that Israel must accept 1967 borders, that Israel must accept treaty demands requiring Israel to step back from it's security imperatives in the Jordan Valley, that Israel must allow Gaza to completely open wide it's air, land, and sea access; and Israel must accept the division of Jerusalem in order that a "Capital of Palestine" may be established there.

Having focused the eyes of the world on the 'plight' of the 'Palestinians' and on the artificial fabrication of a separation of the 'Palestinian Issue' from that of the larger Arab-Israel Conflict, an illusion has been created, that the 'Palestinians' live in subjugated status by Israel, that 'Palestine' is a prison camp maintained by Israel with support of the USA, that a great 'injustice' has been 'perpetrated' upon the 'People of Palestine' by Israel and by the USA, and that this great 'injustice' must be 'righted'.

The eyes of the world have been diverted from the fact of sustained war against Israel by all of Arabia, the overt symbol of which is the very real and official status of war maintained against Israel since 1948 by twenty of twenty-two Arab nations.  The only two States at 'peace' with Israel are Egypt and Jordan; these two States are well paid for this 'peace' by the USA; and this 'peace' has required Israel to surrender Sinai and the Lebanon and much of Golan for the privilege.  Israel is being set up by the world for total containment at best and for total destruction at worst.

The present apparent unity of the Arab world against Hamas must be taken with a grain of salt.  The appearance of imminent 'peace' and the negotiations towards 'peace' must be regarded as the carrot leading the donkey; and, don't forget that there is always a stick whacking the donkey's tuchus (buttox), when the donkey eases off or grows tired of straining for the carrot.  It is said that Mashiach will enter Jerusalem riding on a donkey; it is a matter of life and death, that Israel not be the donkey.

The impunity in Gaza must needs be totally crushed -- the tunnels, the weapons and the missile resources, if not Hamas altogether.  But, that is not enough!

The plausible should be investigated!  It should be assumed as a matter of logic that activity including tunneling, hiding of missiles, and hiding of weapons is secretly, quietly, and discreetly taking place in the 'West Bank', in the Golan, in the Lebanon, in the prison camps, in the mosques, and in Jerusalem itself including Al-Quds.  The present and immediate threat from Gaza must not be regarded as the end game, lest Israel leave itself wide open from within and from without on all fronts.  It just wouldn't be good Shesh-Besh (backgammon), for the Arabs to leave the game at Gaza....

Monday, July 21, 2014

THERE ARE FOUR PRESENT QUESTIONS THAT MUST BE RAISED WITH RESPECT TO MEDIA COVERAGE OF ISRAEL, HAMAS, AND GAZA --


ESPECIALLY AS BOTH HAMAS AND FATAH ARE IGNORING NO OPPORTUNITY TO CRY THAT ISRAEL IS "MASSACRING" GAZA AND THAT ISRAEL IS PERPETRATING A "CRIME AGAINST HUMANITY": 

 (1) Is anyone asking, "What percentage of the death toll of Gazans is caused directly or indirectly by Hamas enforcement (including acts of murder) to maintain a civilian population (a) as cover for their ordinance and (b) as inevitable sympathetic martyrs? 

(2) Is anyone asking, "What percentage of the Gaza population remains there voluntarily, because they support Hamas (and who therefore are actually combatants), even though they may appear to be non-combatants?" 

(3) Is anyone asking, "Why is it, that Hamas has not established a population relocation program in order to evacuate non-combatants from the combat zone?" 

(4) Is Israel asking, "Why is it, that all of a sudden the Israeli Military is being spoken of in the media (at least in the BBC and in NPR) as a "conscript" military?"

Monday, November 11, 2013

ARE THE SAUDIS, IRANIANS, AND PAKISTANIS PLAYING US?


Consider the following speculative idea:  Iran and Saudia Arabia are central to the Muslim World, and Muslim messianic faith tells of the coming of the "Mahdi", who will unite Sunni Islam and Shia Islam, establishing a united Islam dominant in the world.

We hear talk of a common front by Israel and Saudia Arabia against what may be imminent Iranian nuclear power; and we hear that Pakistan may be readying to ship nuclear bombs to Saudia Arabia, ostensibly to defend against Iran.

Yet do we not also hear of the imminent completion of an oil pipeline connecting Iran to Pakistan?

Pakistan lies adjacent to Iran, sharing a common border with Iran; and, the significant beachfront geographies of Pakistan, Iran, and Saudia Arabia make for easy mercantile intercourse between them.

Though Pakistan is Sunni -- as is Saudia Arabia from whence Islam first emerged -- what is there to prevent Pakistan from using the oil pipeline into Iran as a conduit for nuclear fuel or nuclear weapons?

Even as the West supports wars that pit Sunni against Shia, do we not also see growing Islamic unity against the West?

While our eyes are on the centrifuge capabilities and the hard water facilities of Iran -- truly these are real threats in and of themselves -- just next door to Iran lies Pakistan, nuclear capable and possibly just the completion of an oil deal away from sharing that nuclear capability with Iran.  Time Iran may seek to "purchase" from the West via negotiation, allowing nuclear inspections in exchange for an easing of economic sanctions, may also buy time for oil pipeline completion of the into Pakistan.  We risk complacency with respect to the visible Iranian threat, apparently blind to a plausible unknown-unknown nuclear threat in the form of Iran-Pakistan.

The bloody Syrian situation (and the simultaneous Iraqi situation) lies to the west of Iran; the bloody Pakistani and Afghani situations lie to the east of Iran.  Iran itself is relatively quiet, though we may delude ourselves into believing that the Iran of the Mullahs is on the brink of profound civil unrest.  Meanwhile, the clock ticks down on American and Allied presence in both Afghanistan and Pakistan.  (It is worth noting that both Pakistan and Afghanistan share borders with Chinese occupied Tibet to the northeast and with Iran to their west).  So, the way to pressure the Iranian Mullah hegemony may first require that both Syria/Iraq and Pakistan/Afghanistan be squared away; and, the way to pressure Pakistan and Afghanistan may require continued sanctions against Iran and interruption of the Iran-Pakistan oil pipeline.

Continuous and extended Western involvement and re-involvement (such as in Iran, Iraq, Syria, Pakistan, and Afghanistan) may be the hard but necessary road to successful containment of Islamic nuclear power.  Neither can we ignore Turkey and Egypt at this time.  But, the question raised herein goes to whether or not there is a subterranean alliance between Iran and Pakistan that may have nuclear consequences.

Wednesday, August 14, 2013

What? A new label? How about... "Made In The Historical Homeland Of Israel"!

LONG MAY THE VINEYARDS, WINES, AND ALL PRODUCE AND PRODUCT OF "THE HISTORICAL HOMELAND OF ISRAEL" FLOURISH....

Currently, produce and manufacture of Israel, including that of the disputed territories, is labeled, "Made In Israel".  Would it make a difference, if all the produce and manufacture of Israel, including that of the disputed territories, were labeled "Made In The Historical Homeland Of Israel?"  Would such a slight labeling transformation (not exactly according to the specifications of the EU) have a transformative effect, positively expressing a rightful Israeli point of view against the evil eye of  Europe, which relentlessly and profoundly insults,  pressures, and aggravates Israel?  The EU presently insists that Israel distinctly relabel those products and produce, such as are produce and products coming from "Occupied Palestinian Territory".  According to the EU this requirement is consistent with and necessary according to "International Law".

Israel did not participate in, does not accept the jurisdiction of, nor accede to the anti-Israel 2004 ICJ Decision against the Israel Security Fence.  This current EU requirement may provide an opportunity for Israel to challenge both the new EU requirement and the 2004 ICJ Decision.  Neither the UNGA nor the ICJ may definitively nor unilaterally establish Israeli borders (there has been no final resolution of the Arab-Israel Conflict nor of the matter of the disputed territories).  Yet, alteration of the label is an intriguing idea....

Whether produced or manufactured in Judea-Samaria, or in the Golan, or along the Mediterranean, or in the Negev, "Made In The Historical Homeland Of Israel" is a phrase that goes to the heart of the matter and teaches that heart to the entire world.  (For that matter Israel could well invite Lebanon, Syria, and Jordan to also label it's produce and manufacture "Made in the Historical Land of Israel," as the Dynasty of King David included these lands -- not that the Arabs would jump at the chance to advertise that historical fact!)

The claim that "International Law" holds Israel to be in violation of "Palestinian" territory is shameful, disgusting, and questionable -- even when setting aside that Israeli identity is properly Palestinian by definition!  Israel should make every effort to find a way -- openly, before all the nations of the world, and in every proper legal and media venue -- to challenge the rulings, opinions, and resolutions of such as the UNGA and the ICJ.  It should be possible for Israel to go directly before the ICJ to challenge the anti-Israel 2004 ICJ Decision regarding the Israel Security Fence;  Israel should challenge that Decision based on two concepts: (1) Jurisdiction, and (2) Success.   Not only did Israel in 2004 not acknowledge ICJ jurisdiction nor participate in those ICJ proceedings; but, the ICJ should now realize, recognize, and rescind it's 2004 Decision, which it should do based on it's own review by which it must conclude that it improperly assumed jurisdiction.  And, the success of the Israel Security Fence in bringing positive security results to the benefit of everyone on both sides of the Fence is proof that the ICJ decision was utterly wrong.

Israel must not surrender it's future to the whims of Hitler's Children, as dictated by the ICJ and as executed by the European Union.  By it's present behavior the EU may be regarded as the "Third Reich Risen".  Was this "Third Reich Risen" the goal of the Marshall Plan?  Is this "Third Reich Risen" how Europe "remembers" and "learns" and "rebuilds" and "reforms" from the ashes of World War II -- of the Shoah?

Israel is the diamond light of the world and must set itself, so as not to shatter under a European/Eurabian Hammer.  All produce and product of the "Historical Land Of Israel" should be so labeled and so be a reminder to all five senses and to all thought and memory throughout the world!   As kosher wine from the vineyards of the "Historical Homeland Of Israel" sparkles diamond-like in every glass, each sip should enliven and liberate every throat to speak a toast, "Yes, I remember!  Israel has a right in it's Historical Homeland!"






Wednesday, July 17, 2013

EUROPEAN UNION ESTABLISHES BOYCOTT CLAUSE INTO BUSINESS AND GRANT CONTRACTS WITH ISRAELI INSTITUTIONS

LYNCHING NOOSE DRAWN TIGHTER AROUND ISRAEL'S NECK

This past week the EU has taken an huge step towards the lynching of the State of Israel.  The EU decision this past week to sanction Israel is consistent with the 2004 decision of the ICJ (International Court of Justice in Brussels) to presume to jurisdiction in the matter of Israeli Borders.  It is necessary to recall that the ICJ ruled against Israel's construction of the Security Fence, interpreting and extending that decision to far broader legal and territorial implications.  It is worth noting that (a) Israel has never conceded to ICJ jurisdiction in this matter, and that (b) it is the existence of the Security Fence that has brought terrorism against Israel [from the Arabs of the "West Bank" and "East Jerusalem"] to a virtual standstill.  The ICJ decision presumed to deny Israel it's rights and it's means to prevent terror.  Israel rightly neither accepted then nor accepts now any presumed ICJ jurisdiction in the matter of borders, nor has Israel ever acceded to the horrendous ICJ decision.

Today (and to be effective in 2014) in tandem with the ICJ decision of 2004 the EU explicitly now defines the Golan, East Jerusalem, and Judea-Samaria (the "West Bank") to be "Occupied Palestinian Territory".  This is (1) despite the record of Arab terrorism against Israel (2) despite the lack of a peace agreement between Israel and the 'Palestinians' (3)  despite the obdurate and official "state of war" that exists against Israel by more than twenty Muslim Arabian countries surrounding Israel (Egypt and Jordan are two singular exceptions) (4) despite the obvious threat to Israel of Iran's terrorist client entities (e.g. Hezbollah and Hamas) (5) despite Iran's relentless push towards nuclear weapons capability, and (6) despite the questionable foundation to presumed legal authority by the ICJ in 2004.

The ICJ is an arm of the UN (United Nations).  The UN is today staunchly anti-Israel (and anti-Western) and is locked in a "love affair" with Arabia, Russia, and China that predetermines incessant anti-Israel UN Resolutions, one after another, which undermine Israel's existential right.  Israel is attacked unendingly in the UN, in the media, in governmental bodies, even in institutions of higher learning; Israel is disrespected in principle and in precedent by resolutions, decrees, rulings, pecuniary supports of terrorists, and by pecuniary offenses against Israel (e.g. boycotts).  There is, too, the never-ending disrespect to Jewish character and the unconditional bigotry against Jews.

Israel must regard both (a) the current EU decree to sanction Israel and (b) the dishonest foundation for that decree of the ICJ decision of 2004 (c) to be not merely tactics to press Israel towards a 'tough' but 'noble' and 'courageous' agreement with the 'Palestinians'.  Israel must regard both the decision of the ICJ and the decree of the EU to be symbolic of a failed European Conscience that would serve up Israel for dinner to Hamas, Hezbollah, and Fatah and call it a "negotiation".  Israel must not allow itself to be a "goose" around which a "noose" is tightened, lest Israel's "goose" be "cooked".





Tuesday, June 18, 2013

APPROACHING THE THREE WEEKS

NOT EXACTLY HOT FUN IN THE SUMMERTIME

SYRIA and IRAN and EGYPT stand out as the greatest concerns of the moment, with Iraq, Turkey, Pakistan, and Afghanistan not far behind.  ISRAEL is certainly caught between Iraq and hard places....

On the one hand getting Syria right may be the key that finally unlocks the gates to the potential nuclear hell that is Iran.  The results of the Iranian "elections" may mean that Iran has reached a tipping point and is ready to engage with the UN and the West in a way that suggests a less megalomaniacal attitude.  On the other hand regardless of the Syria outcome the present "election" results may be intended simply to enable Iran to present the appearance of a more moderate face to the world, even as Iran shifts it's alliances eastwards.

To date we see the Russia-Syria-Iran connections quite clearly.  There is every reason to see and be vigilant regarding these connections, and to be alert as well to the Stalinesque Putin-Assad-Ahmadinijad-Erdogan-Morsi patterns of totalitarianism in various stages of their development (even though Turkey is a NATO country and Egypt is presently, though precariously, in the American sphere, we had best not take these relations for granted).

We must not be so narrowly focused on Syria that we lose sight of the growing Iran-Pakistan-China connection.  There is an oil pipeline in progress to supply Iranian oil to Pakistan -- and whatever else may conceivably be transported via such a pipeline, eastwards or westwards (which possibility ought not be taken lightly, whatever weight the crude, as the new government of Pakistan has publicly announced a deepening of Chinese assistance in the further advancement of the nuclear capabilities of Pakistan).  It is not then a far stretch to realize that there may also be a deepening Chinese involvement in the assistance of Iranian nuclear development, whether as a complement to present Russian guidance or as a replacement of the Russians, should the Western nations coax the Russians out of their Iranian beach front.

What can Israel do, caught as it is in the center of all this superpower international intrigue that is laced with the aspirations of the would-be-superpowers of the Muslim world, and all of whom seem to regard Israel as at least the goalie to the soccer ball that is presently Syria and and could overnight become Israel as well?

One thing Israel can do is to remember that needless hatred and the destructiveness thereof is not restricted to the history of Israel.  One-hundred-thousand Syrians have already paid dearly for the needless hatred of Syrian v. Syrian, and most of those, who have paid the price, have been innocents.  Can Israel find ways to aid suffering Syrian refugees without also exposing Israel's underbelly?  Can Israel suggest ways to cool things down between the contesting parties  of Syria?  Can Israel manage to stay sufficiently out of the fray so that Hezbollah will not attack Israel?  If Hezbollah chooses anyway to attack Israel, is Israel ready -- and ready as well, should Hamas join in and attack Israel from Gaza?  Could Iran conceivably attack Israel?  Is Morsi studying ways to convert a public stance against Assad into a war footing that may further consolidate Muslim Brotherhood power in Egypt?  Is an Israeli-Egyptian alliance against Iran conceivable?  Oy, Vey!  Such questions!

Wednesday, January 30, 2013

POSITIVE ELECTION RESULTS? WHY NOT? WE SHALL SEE...

LOOKS GOOD SO FAR!

Israel has chosen a broad spectrum of solid leaders.  May HaShem prove them all to be equal to the tasks before them, tasks which are not simple; yet, neither are they hopeless tasks:  peace and security in a place surrounded by war and hatred, prosperity and stability in a time of economic strife, and faith and freedom caught up in a timeless struggle with each other.

HAREDIM INTO THE MILITARY?

It is a good idea, that everyone serve the country, including service in the military.  There already exist successful examples of devoted military service by religious Jews (note: saying so here in such an understated way is not intended to belittle anyone).  Haredim may conceivably be a special case; and so it is incumbent on the Nation of Israel that there be a national dialogue on the subject that is not based merely on resentments, be those resentments by persons religious, non-religious, anti-religious, or Haredi.

Those, who insist that Haredim serve in the military, ought to ask themselves two questions: (1) Are there service protocols that may be tailored to enable Haredim to serve in ways consistent with Halachah; and, (2) Are there societal protocols that non-religious and anti-religious Jews ought to commit themselves to in order to make their own contribution to the integrity of Israel (e.g. - keeping some of the vital Shabbas Halachoth, dressing Modestly, keeping Kosher, etc.)?

IRAN DEADLINE?

June 6 would be a good deadline date for Iran to come clean with respect to it's nuclear ambitions, to cease it's imperial provocations around the world, and to cease it's campaigns of Holocaust Denial and Jew Hatred.

Such a deadline should be established jointly by the UNGA and the UNSC under combined Israeli, American, Russian, and Chinese sponsorship;  and, the suggested joint sponsorship process should have, as it's foundation, repudiation of the Iranian policy of Holocaust Denial, a subject cogently brought to world attention by PM Netanyahu earlier this week on International Holocaust Remembrance Day (January 27).

Tuesday, January 8, 2013

GESHEM-GESHEM!! MAYIM-MAYIM!! MIN HA'SHEMAYIM!!

YEARS AND YEARS OF DROUGHT -- AND NOW -- FINALLY -- HEAVENLY -- RAIN, RAIN, RAIN!!!

HASHEM PROVIDES THE BEST CONTRIBUTION FOR PEACE, LOVE, AND PROSPERITY -- MUCH NEEDED WATER!!!

Two wonderful opportunities exist now for Israel: (1) Make optimal use of the replenishment of it's water resources, and (2) redesign and rebuild for flood weather, so that damage will be minimal -- even close to zero -- next time around (which may be sooner than we may think).

Perhaps in it's redesign efforts Israel may set an example for other nations, even the USA, by building on stilts and by incorporating other elevation engineerings into construction in low-lying areas, especially along the sea; and by constructing multi-use barriers inclusive of wind and tidal power.

The best place for the ocean is "Under the Boardwalk"!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iyzCccndc2w

Sunday, January 6, 2013

"STATE OF PALESTINE" ??????????? OY, GEVALT!!!!!!!!!!!!

FROM THOUGHT TO SPEECH TO ACTION...

Mahmoud Abbas has led the PAL on a path that calls to mind a fundamental teaching of Hasidus, "From Thought To Speech To Action".  Abbas has thought "State of Palestine".  Abbas has spoken "State of Palestine".  Abbas may imminently win an existential "State of Palestine".

Today it was reported by the Associated Press that Abbas has ordered the Palestinian Authority (PA) to officially change it's name to "State of Palestine" on the presumption that it is consistent with the recent decision of the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) to recognize the "State of Palestine" (SOP) as a full Non-Member Observer "State".  The keywords are "State" and "Palestine".

The United Nations Security Council (UNSC) has not so recognized a "State of Palestine".  Can the UNSC override and negate the UNGA recognition of the SOP?  If so, then the effrontery of the PAL and the UNGA may be checked by firmer UNSC action than it's presently passive non-ratification of the UNGA move; and Israel must so urge the UNSC.

Perhaps in one united decision the UNSC may officially recognize the non-observer status of The Holy See and simultaneously officially nullify the UNGA recognition of the "State of Palestine".  (Whether or not the UNSC can be brought to an unanimous vote to override the UNGA in this matter should be regarded as possible on structural grounds regarding matters of proper balance of power at the UN, if a case for the Right of Override by the UNSC may be made de jure, defacto, or de implicatione by the UN Charter.)

Or must such a precedent be established via the International Court of Justice (ICJ) in Brussells?  Does it not make sense, that if any type of Observer Status, Non-Observer Status, or actual Statehood is recognized by the UNGA, that such recognition must be ratified by the UNSC in order to become valid, binding, and active at the UN?  This logic should apply as well to recognition in such UN bodies as UNESCO or the Antiquities Authority.

There is a speedy "train" in motion upon which the world appears ready to board; that "train" is official recognition of the "State of Palestine".  If the UNGA may say that there is a "State of Palestine", then what is to stop the majority of individual Member States of the UN from officially doing the same?  (Are the Member States of the UN bound to honor the both the UNGA and the UNSC prior to acknowledging a State?  No, in fact neither, but, a tidal wave of "permissions" flowing outwards from the UNGA epicenter of the "Arab Spring" may drown Israel and the World.)

Precedent already exists at the UN, that Member States may not be required to acknowledge each other.  That precedent exists in that there are at least twenty member States, who have chosen not to recognize the existence of Israel.  This is a "thumbing the nose" at both the UNGA and the UNSC, as much as it is an affront to Israel's Right to Exist .  This first precedent of non-recognition is also precedent to it's inverse, that an individual State may be UN Member State and yet independently recognize any entity claiming to be a state, e.g. the "State of Palestine" or, hypothetically, the "State of Al-Quaeda in Yemen", "Al-Quaeda in Syria", "Hezbollah in Syria-Lebanon", etc.

It must be remembered that the guiltiest parties to this nefarious recognition of a "State of Palestine" may be the more than fifty Member States, which either did not show up to vote or deliberately abstained from voting; a UNGA two-thirds majority in favor of Statehood for the PA could not have manifested, had those fifty-plus Member States voted against PA Statehood.

The propaganda war waged in the name of "Palestine" by the Arabs, having achieved a worldwide victory at the UNGA, may now press further into official recognition by the majority of individual States throughout the world, leaving only the UNSC and a handful of States to yet recognize "The State Of Palestine".  The weight of time and pressure on these remaining official bodies to recognize "The State Of Palestine" does not favor Israel.  Such "olives" these Arabs press into "oil...." 

Israel urgently faces "crunch time" decisions to defend itself from deleterious final status in the face of probable international recognition of the "State Of Palestine" along unsustainable borders for Israel.  In the jargon of basketball, the "game is into overtime" and Israel must exercise a "full court press" in order to survive and advance to the next level.

What can Israel do?

In the Media and at the UNGA, UNSC, ICJ, and to individual States throughout the world, Israel must itself move from thought to speech to action or, failing to do so, concede to the Arabs a ghettoized Israel.

Israel must:

1.  Make the case, as there is no UNSC-recognized "State of Palestine", that it is premature for the PAL to change it's name;

2.  Make the case, as there is no UNSC-recognized "State of Palestine", that the UNGA must freeze it's present recognition, until and unless the UNSC recognizes a "State of Palestine".

3.  Make the case -- for by definition "Jews" and "Israel" are "Palestinian" and "Palestine" (by the ignominious nomenclature of the Ancient Romans) -- that recognition of any entity of Palestinian Arabs must only be by some appropriate name, e.g. "Fatah", as the heritage of foreign occupations of Israel/Palestine  requires prominent recognition and receives none.  (In fact it would be quite elegant to press the UN Antiquities Authority to verify this history and nomenclature of Israel from Roman times to the Present....)

4.  Make the case that Israel will not recognize the presently alleged "State of Palestine" nor will speak "of" or "to" the PAL except by an actual appropriate name, e.g. "Fatah" in proper recognition of identity and in order to no longer give verbal credibility to the identification of the Arabs as Palestinian and the Jews as Not-Palestinian.

5.  Take strong, calculated, restrained, strategic, tactical, and expeditious actions on the ground to secure Israel; these should be inclusive of settlement activities, construction activities, defense preparation activities, police activities, judicial activities, and political activities. 

6.  Make the case strongly that none of the four explicit tests of the Montevideo Criteria for Statehood are met by the PA ("Fatah"), as these four tests (stable population, borders, government, and capacity for international relations) are each of them and collectively questionable, controversial, and disputable.

**************************** LEGAL ARTICLE REFERENCE
REGARDING THE U.N., THE HOLY SEE (VATICAN), AND THE P.A./STATE OF PALESTINE:

American Society of International Law 09/07/2012
http://www.asil.org/insights121208.cfm.

Friday, January 4, 2013

"QUASIMODO" OR ""WINNIE THE POOH?

OGRE OR PUSHOVER (TO BE OR NOT TO BE)?


The world wants to believe that we are ogres. And so we contort ourselves until we become ogres.  Or we distort ourselves into such niceness, we cannot even believe it ourselves.

The West keeps us on a tight leash, such that we choke, then the West asks, "Why didn't you tell us the leash was too tight?"

The West murders us in ghettoes for centuries; now we morf ourselves into builders of "security fences".  Sanity would have us resettle our historical homeland!

Meanwhile -- what goes on beneath Jerusalem?

What goes on below the Temple Mount?

The Waqf digs, deeper and deeper, destroying evidence of Jewish
Heritage.  The Waqf every day today pulverizes the antiquities of our heritage, even as the Nazis cremated millions of our precious living heritage.

For this the United Nations elevates the "Palestinian Authority"; having already appointed the PA to the UN Antiquities Authority, now the UN has granted the PA into virtual Statehood!

Bibi N., Tzipi L., Ehud B., Moshe F., Shelly Y., Arye D. -- 

EFSHAR B'YACHAD BEYN HAMETZAR AL HA'ETHID!


Thursday, December 27, 2012

CHINA ACTIVATES "BEIDOU" G.P.S. SYSTEM,

ANNOUNCING THAT THE SATELLITE G.P.S. SYSTEM IS DESIGNED FOR COMMERCIAL, SCIENTIFIC, AND MILITARY PURPOSES.

In 2000 China launched it's first satellite (coincidentally one year prior to Nine-Eleven) and now orbits sixteen satellites.

Today China announced it has activated it's "Beidou" GPS system;   by 2020 China will have launched at least thirty-five satellites.

Perhaps it's time to take the unfailing advice found in Chinese restaurant fortune cookies:  "Learn to read and speak Chinese...."


Tuesday, December 25, 2012

OBVIOUS IMPLICATIONS OF NUCLEAR IRAN, PAKISTAN, AND NORTH KOREA:

"TIC-TAC-TO (OR IS IT 'TICK-TOCK-TOW') -- THREE IN A ROW!"

Not quite there yet in drawing that connecting line from Northeast Asia (North Korea) through Central Asia (Pakistan) into Southwest Asia (Iran), China is already expanding a new game into the Pacific, claiming sovereignty over hosts of islands in all the various seas off China's coast and challenging South Korea, Japan, the Philippines, and the other South Seas nations.

China itself is already stockpiled with diverse nuclear armaments;  so add to that the coming completion of China's expanded ring of nuclear military capability via it's client/proxy States.

Once China's limit was the Great Wall of China.  In 1949 China invaded and occupied Tibet, thereby expanding a second great 'wall' of China to the Himalyas de facto.  In China's eyes and more significantly in Chinese Law, Tibet is Chinese territory de juree.

It is not beyond reason to perceive that in the worldwide territorial game of "Go", there are now three great 'walls' of China: the Great Wall; the circle of mountains surrounding Siankiang in the north and Tibet in the west and south; and now the 'nuclear wall' comprising North Korea, Pakistan, and [imminently] Iran.

Let us not forget China's eyes in the sky, be they officially Chinese, nor those of contracted nations and their surrogates;  need the appropriate biblical metaphor [and therefore solution] be spelled out?

Sunday, December 23, 2012

CAN WE PREDICT WHAT THE NEW EGYPT WILL LOOK LIKE, IF MORSI AND HIS NEW CONSTITUTION SURVIVE?

HOW DOES MORSI'S NEW CONSTITUTION FOR EGYPT COMPARE TO THAT OF TURKEY?

A cogent understanding of the significance of the new Egyptian Constitution and Government may be learned out by making a comparison to the Turkish Constitution and Government.  The Turkish Government is by an Islamist party elected under a pre-existing secular Constitution.  Despite Islamist leanings, Turkey is still a member nation of NATO, and still has relations with Israel (strained of course by the Turkish role in the Mavi Marmara Incident).  A study of the new Egyptian Constitution in comparison and contrast to that of the Turkish Constitution may reveal the true meaning of the new Egyptian Constitution and, may make it possible to predict, whether or not the Muslim Brotherhood has become a kinder, gentler, more democratic influence in Egypt and in the region, or, whether on not the Muslim Brotherhood is without doubt merely the Hamas of Egypt.

Thursday, December 20, 2012

REVIEWING THE PROPOSITION THAT THE U.N. SHOULD GRANT NON-MEMBER OBSERVER STATUS TO TIBET...

SUCH A PROPOSITION MAY BE SUPERFICIALLY APPEALING BUT SUBSTANTIALLY WEAK.

The idea of non-member observer status at the UN for Tibet may or may not be uniquely mine, and I do not know, if it has ever been a goal of the Dalai Lama;  I do know that the Dalai Lama has publicly expressed his wish that China allow Tibet to function as an autonomous region of China.

It may be that non-member observer status at the UN, rather than furthering the cause of Tibet against Chinese Occupation, would instead put the lid on both Tibetan autonomy and independence.  Any such internationally legal voice gained by the Dalai Lama under the aegis of a theoretically independent Tibet having non-member observer status could be a voice less substantial than the wind, having no territorial hegemony.

The Dalai Lama may have chosen the harder, longer, more painful, more difficult, ultimately necessary road -- the road of the Tibetan Buddhist, may it lead to the reconstitution of Tibet.

IN RECONSIDERATION OF THE MEANING AND IMPLICATIONS OF NON-MEMBER OBSERVER STATUS AT THE U.N. FOR THE PALESTINIAN AUTHORITY...

A STATE OF PALESTINE, OR, A THEOCRATIC STATE OF EAST JERUSALEM?

Given the unlikelihood that the budding Third Intifada will lead to lasting unification of the Palestinian Authority and Hamas, and given that the inevitable result must be either a temporary or permanent  "Pax Yisrael" in both Gaza and Judea-Samaria, a State of Palestine under the Palestinian Authority is unlikely.  And Hamas is not [yet] recognized by the UNGA with respect to the non-member observer status of the Palestinian Authority.

There is increasing momentum for the PA and Hamas to come together in a Third Intifada, and talk that the military cooperation between the PA and Israel will soon be ended unilaterally by the PA, so the future therefore is quite tenuous.  It is not impossible to imagine that a Third Intifada will mean that both Hamas and the PA will be brought down once again by Israel, and that Israel will exert even stronger and more justifiable hegemony over Gaza and Judea-Samaria.  Nor is it impossible to imagine that Jordan and Egypt will either step in or be called upon to incorporate the "West Bank" (Judea-Samaria) and Gaza into their respective contiguous nations ("Back to the Future", so to speak).

So what then of East Jerusalem and the Haram-es-Sharif?  In the context of the present dubious equivalence between the status of the PA and that of The Holy See (The Vatican), as both the PA and The Holy See are legally of the same UN non-member observer status, the precedence of The Vatican as a theocratic State implies the possibility that there could be a transformation [from the presently  intended move to create a fully-fledged UN Member State of Palestine] to instead create a theocratic State of East Jerusalem under the political and religious authority of the Waqf and the Mufti of Jerusalem.  This is a logical implication for the future of East Jerusalem that cannot be ignored.

ANTICIPATING THE ARMED, DEADLY ANTHILL AND CRYPT OF A "HOLY CITY OF EAST JERUSALEM" (12/23/2012)

The Jihadist habit of tunneling is well known throughout the world.  Whether this tunneling be by Al-Quaeda in Afghanistan and in Pakistan or, by Hamas, the PLO, and Hezbollah in Gaza, Israel, and Lebanon, the hazard is relentless.  Just imagine the Jihadist catacombs that already lace the Temple Mount and that may snake throughout East Jerusalem and throughout the entire City of Jerusalem.

"Do you know?  Don't you wonder?  What's going on... down under you???" (Crosby, Stills & Nash)

Tuesday, December 18, 2012

(1) ANSWERING FAYYAD'S CALL FOR A BOYCOTT OF ALL THINGS ISRAEL, AND (2) CHALLENGING U.N.G.A. RECOGNITION OF A PALESTINIAN AUTHORITY LED "OBSERVER STATE OF PALESTINE."

MAKING THE BEST OF THESE TWO WRONGS AGAINST ISRAEL AND THE FREE WORLD.


Israel has done much to support Abbu Mazzan (Mahmoud Abbas), Salam Fayyad, Hanan Asrawi, and the Palestinian Authority they lead.  Support has included political support, military support, and financial support.  Yet in less than thirty days the Palestinian Authority has twice spit on the Jewish hands lifting them up.

 (1) THE BOYCOTT INVOCATION

Israeli Premier Netanyahu should hold an international press conference and respond to Salam Fayyad's call for a boycott of all things Israel.

PM Netanyahu's response should be firm, yet compassionate, and should be designed to transform the invocative and provocative negative of the Arab-proposed boycott of Israel into a positive result.  PM Netanyahu should put forth a joyful, compelling, constructive call for the world to go out of it's way to visit the Holy Land this holiday season.  Customarily, at  this time of year, Jews and Arabs host throngs of tourists on pilgrimage tours to the Holy Land.  There is no better way to transcend the disturbed political airs than to remember that every day on the ground, ordinary Arabs and Israelis are remarkably hospitable and needing of the economic blessings of ordinary tourism and commerce.

Now, the Arab call for a boycott of all things Israel may or may not have been planned by the Arabs prior to and independently of Israel's response to UNGA recognition of an "Observer State of Palestine" [Israel froze $400-million NIS of PA taxes (collateral for money owed by the PA to Israel for utility services already provided) and commenced the  building of houses for Israelis on land the Arabs claim is theirs].

The Israeli actions are justified and overdue and are even relatively mute in the face of Arab behavior;  yet, Israel must be wary of the obsequious nature of Arab provocation, such as this call for a boycott of all things Israel.  Just as the Arabs establish their missile sites in their own olive groves in order to publicly decry olive grove destruction by Israel, when in self-defense Israel attacks these missile sites;  just as the Arabs establish their terror cells among their own civilians in order to decry the harm to civilians at the hand of Israel, when Israel attacks these terror cells in self-defense;  so too the Arabs find all manner of public propaganda ploys to distort reality and focus negative attention on Israel;  this call for a boycott of all things Israel may be such a ploy.

Therefore, while remaining firm where necessary, Israel may yet be warm, openhearted, and positive by inviting the world to come to the Holy Land.  PM Netanyahu may remind the world that the best way for the world to practice peacemaking in the Holy Land is to support the economy of the Holy Land by coming to the Holy Land and by enjoying all that the Holy Land offers in this season of the message of peace.

Much of the hospitality hosted in the Holy Land is hosted by Arabs, not only Jews.  Such an invitation to the world by PM Netanyahu, such an invitation to kindness inclusive of the average Arab struggling to make a living from day to day, may do much to diffuse animosity towards both Israel and PM Netanyahu, be that animosity local or out in the larger world.

(2) AN OBSERVER STATE OF PALESTINE

For the third time in recent years the UNGA has ramped up the prestige and legitimacy of Arab terrorism.  Twice it has empowered the PA with respect to the UN History and Antiquites Authority;  and now the UN has elevated the PA into the status of a recognized Observer State.

Setting aside Arab theft of the name "Palestine" from our Jewish Nation -- (though it is a name of humiliation, "Palestine" is a second name for the State of Israel, a name of occupation, forced by Ancient Rome upon Ancient Israel) -- by what insanity and by what precedent has the UNGA granted Observer State status to the PA?

There is no unified political authority for all of the Palestinian Arabs (e.g. it is Hamas that has the popular, financial, and authoritative rule in Gaza);  so, on what basis may the UNGA represent, even to it's own body, that the PA is the legitimate authority for any proposed Arab State of Palestine? 

No less important is this precedent:  the only preceding  Observer State at the UN is the theocratic State known as The Holy See (i.e. The Vatican).   Based on such a theocratic precedent, logic implies that the UNGA would more likely grant Observer Status to Hamas, not to the PA, as theocratic leadership is an Hamas hallmark (not that terrorist Hamas is any more worthy of a State than the PA).  Is it the intent of the UNGA to elevate Abbas, Fayyad, and Asrawi to the stature of the Pope?

And then there is the glaring omission at the UNGA -- that Tibet does not have recognition as an Observer State, nor does the Dali Lama have the appropriate international theocratic respect he deserves.

Legally, it should be clear and obvious that, by precedent of The Vatican, Tibet should be granted status as an Observer State.  The Dalai Lama, though in exile, deserves equivalent theocratic status at the UN to that of the Pope (despite the existence of a figurehead placed in that role by Tibet's occuppier, China).  Tibet has suffered forced occupation by China for more than half a century; yet, the Tibetan response to Chinese occupation has honorably and enduringly been non-violent in keeping with the non-violent philosophy of Tibetan Buddhism.


Were the UNGA behaving honestly, it would not give the PA a moment of credibility, and would shift it's focus towards the needs of the People of Tibet.


IN SUMMARY:


Israel's response to Fayyad's boycott provocation should be a compassionate, positive, inviting call for the world to support the economy of Holy Land by visiting both Jewish and Arab hosted sites in the Holy Land.


Israel's response to UNGA recognition of the OSP (Observer State of Palestine) should be to represent to the ICJ (International Court of Justice) in Brussels that there is neither basis nor precedent for the UNGA to recognize an OSP  and that the UNGA vote therefore must needs be struck down by the ICJ.